[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 8 19:12:37 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 090011
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
811 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS...

.AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTH COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
80.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT...MOVE OVER
WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE
IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER TONIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF
OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 966 MB...OR 28.53 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090430-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
811 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE POSITION FOR THE 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION FOR HOSPITAL STATUS.
UPDATED WINDS TO ADD GUST SPEEDS IN RAIN BANDS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE POSSIBILITY
OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE FLORIDA KEYS BY
THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER. MARINERS HOSPITAL IS
OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY UNTIL THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WHILE ALL OTHER HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL
OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY OUTDOOR LOOSE OBJECTS...AND BRING
INSIDE ANY OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
HIGHEST VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE HIGHEST STORM
TIDE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

OUTER RAIN BANDS...ACCOMPANIED BY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 60 MPH WILL AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE LIKELY
TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. NORTHEAST TO EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 KNOTS IN THE
STRONGER SQUALLS TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET
BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 FEET SOUTH OF THE MARQUESAS KEYS
AND DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-090430-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
811 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE POSITION FOR THE 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION FOR HOSPITAL STATUS.
UPDATED WINDS TO ADD GUST SPEEDS IN RAIN BANDS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE POSSIBILITY
OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE FLORIDA KEYS BY
THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER. MARINERS HOSPITAL IS
OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY UNTIL THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WHILE ALL OTHER HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL
OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY OUTDOOR LOOSE OBJECTS...AND BRING
INSIDE ANY OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
HIGHEST VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE HIGHEST STORM
TIDE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

OUTER RAIN BANDS...ACCOMPANIED BY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 60 MPH WILL AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE LIKELY
TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. NORTHEAST TO EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 KNOTS IN THE
STRONGER SQUALLS TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET
BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 FEET SOUTH OF THE MARQUESAS KEYS
AND DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON





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