[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 082215
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
615 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...

.AT 500 PM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES, FLORIDA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH, BUT A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. ON THIS
TRACK, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT, THEN MOVE
OVER WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON
SCALE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER
REMAINS OVER WATER. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE MOVES INTO
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

GMZ656-657-676-090600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
615 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS.
UPDATED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED TORNADO IMPACT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE
TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM. COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO
CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO
CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH SHOULD TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT FROM POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS AND NOT VENTURE OFFSHORE. SECURE MARINE CRAFT
IN SAFE PORT WITH EXTRA ROPE OR LINE TO ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER
THAN NORMAL TIDES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 30 TO 45 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL GULF WATERS
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS IKE MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL
WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS ASSOCIATED
WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL OUTER BANDS. HOWEVER, ALTHOUGH NOT
CURRENTLY FORECAST, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE, SHOULD THE CENTER OF IKE MOVE SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST BEYOND 20 MILES OF THE COAST, BUILDING UP TO
8 FEET OVERNIGHT, THEN UP TO 10 FEET LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE THIS WEEK. MARINERS SHOULD STAY
IN SAFE PORT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-090600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
615 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: COLLIER, GLADES, HENDRY,
MAINLAND MONROE, PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM,
BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY
UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL
AND METRO BROWARD, ALL OF MIAMI- DADE, AND MAINLAND MONROE THROUGH
8 PM EDT TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE ATLANTIC WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM TIDE OF GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
EVENT AS IKE MOVES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ON BOTH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS.
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THE
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND RESULTING WAVE ACTION FROM HURRICANE IKE
WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
AND POSSIBLE MINOR BEACH EROSION. LOW COASTAL AREAS FROM MIAMI-
DADE TO PALM BEACH COUNTIES MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING AS
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN ALMOST A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AS THE STORM
PASSES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY ENHANCED NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE WHICH WILL BE 3 AND 5 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST OF BROWARD, MIAMI DADE, AND MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY EVENING. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA, WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY.
WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY IN SQUALLS TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF A RAINBAND CONTINUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE SAME AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF IKE, PARTICULARLY BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY, EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT. WINDS OF AROUND 25
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING. THE
HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE WATERS OFF THE MIAMI-DADE COAST.
SEAS OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT,
HIGHEST OVER THE MIAMI-DADE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY
SUBSIDE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, BUT REMAIN ABOVE 7 FEET
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WINDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

$$






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