[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 081830
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...

INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

.AT 2 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.2 NORTH LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 320 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER OR VERY NEAR CENTRAL CUBA TODAY AND
EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IKE MOVES OVER CENTRAL CUBA TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES.

GMZ656-657-676-090230-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
230 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM LOCATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20
NM...GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO
CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND... AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH SHOULD
TAKE EARLY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT FROM POSSIBLE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS. SECURE MARINE CRAFT IN SAFE
PORT WITH EXTRA ROPE OR LINE TO ALLOW FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES DUE TO STORM SURGE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT
AFTER TODAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES
CUBA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... STORM TIDE OF
2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE
WILL BE HIGHEST AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE... AND FROM
CAPE SABLE EAST TO FLAMINGO.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 25 KNOTS TO 25
TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. EAST WINDS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
34 KNOTS OR HIGHER, ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY BECOMING SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, FINALLY DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
BEGINNING TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN SPIRAL BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 35 TO 50 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER SPIRAL BANDS OF
HURRICANE IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE
OUTERMOST SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY EVENING
AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES FROM WESTERN CUBA INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF
OF MEXICO. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COASTAL WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS
ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS. HOWEVER, WINDS MAY BE
HIGHER IF THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SEAS WILL SLOWLY BUILD TO 3 TO
5 FEET TONIGHT AND 5 TO 7 FEET TUESDAY, WITH SEAS POSSIBLY AS HIGH
AS 11 FEET IN THE OUTERMOST GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE.
MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS HURRICANE IKE PASSES THROUGH
THE GULF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-090230-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
230 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM LOCATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL
MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD
BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER
INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND
MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM BEACH...LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MAINLAND
MONROE...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE...METRO PALM BEACH...
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20
NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS...WATERS FROM
JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO PALM BEACH,
BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE UNTIL 2 AM TUESDAY. NO OTHER WATCHES OR
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE IKE AS IT PASSES
ACROSS CUBA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FOR LATEST INFORMATION PERTAINING TO YOUR LOCATION CONTACT YOUR
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES
CUBA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO, STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE WILL BE
HIGHEST AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FROM CAPE SABLE
EAST TO FLAMINGO. ELSEWHERE STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY WITH ONSHORE WINDS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS ROTATING ONSHORE THE ATLANTIC
COAST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 20 TO
25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS
MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND
METRO AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES THROUGH
2 AM TUESDAY. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY AND SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY NIGHT AS IKE PASSES ACROSS CUBA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS, 39 MPH OR
HIGHER, WILL BE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR MIAMI FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 21 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FOR W PALM BEACH FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FOR NAPLES FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 31 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE
IS 15 TO 20 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS CONTINUALLY TRAIN
ACROSS THE SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR BRIEF
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS OF HURRICANE IKE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON
LASTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE
BAY TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS ESPECIALLY
IN SQUALLS IN SPIRAL BANDS AS HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS CUBA. HOWEVER, WINDS MAY BE HIGHER IF THE CENTER
OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST. SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY TO 8 TO 10 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH UP TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. OVER LAKE
OKEECHOBEE EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUST
TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE ATLANTIC WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT TODAY AND
SHOULD STAY SAFE IN PORT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.

$$






This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net