[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 081612
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1212 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...

INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

.AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.1 NORTH LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 330 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER OR VERY NEAR CENTRAL CUBA TODAY AND
EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IKE MOVES OVER CENTRAL CUBA TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES.

GMZ656-657-676-090015-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1212 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED LATEST STORM INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20
NM...GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO
CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND, AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH SHOULD
TAKE EARLY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT FROM POSSIBLE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS. SECURE MARINE CRAFT IN SAFE
PORT WITH EXTRA ROPE OR LINE TO ALLOW FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES DUE TO STORM SURGE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT
AFTER TODAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES
CUBA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO, STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE WILL BE HIGHEST
AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST
FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE, AND FROM CAPE SABLE EAST TO
FLAMINGO.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS BECOMING 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. EAST WINDS OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE 34 KNOTS OR HIGHER, ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
BECOMING SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, FINALLY
DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN SPIRAL
BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 35 TO 50 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER SPIRAL BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE
OUTERMOST SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY EVENING
AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES FROM WESTERN CUBA INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF
OF MEXICO. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COASTAL WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS
ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS. HOWEVER, WINDS MAY BE
HIGHER IF THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SEAS WILL SLOWLY BUILD TO 3 TO
5 FEET TONIGHT AND 5 TO 7 FEET TUESDAY, WITH SEAS POSSIBLY AS HIGH
AS 11 FEET IN THE OUTERMOST GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE.
MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS HURRICANE IKE PASSES THROUGH
THE GULF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM EDT.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-090015-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
1212 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM LOCATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...GLADES...HENDRY...
INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE...INLAND
PALM BEACH...MAINLAND MONROE...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI
DADE...METRO PALM BEACH.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO PALM BEACH,
BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE UNTIL 2 AM TUESDAY. NO OTHER WATCHES OR
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE IKE AS IT PASSES
ACROSS CUBA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FOR LATEST INFORMATION PERTAINING TO YOUR LOCATION CONTACT YOUR
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES
CUBA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO, STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE WILL BE HIGHEST
AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST
FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FROM CAPE SABLE EAST TO
FLAMINGO. ELSEWHERE STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY WITH ONSHORE WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS ROTATING ONSHORE THE ATLANTIC
COAST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL AND METRO AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES THROUGH 2 AM TUESDAY. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST ON
TUESDAY AND SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT AS IKE PASSES ACROSS CUBA AND
ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS, 39 MPH OR HIGHER, WILL BE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR MIAMI FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 21 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FOR W PALM BEACH FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FOR NAPLES FL...

THERE IS ABOUT A 31 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE
IS 15 TO 20 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS CONTINUALLY TRAIN
ACROSS THE SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR BRIEF
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS OF HURRICANE IKE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON
LASTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE
BAY TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS ESPECIALLY
IN SQUALLS IN SPIRAL BANDS AS HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS CUBA. HOWEVER, WINDS MAY BE HIGHER IF THE CENTER
OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST. SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY TO 8 TO 10 FEET TODAY
AND WILL REACH UP TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 30 KNOTS TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE ATLANTIC WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT TODAY AND SHOULD STAY SAFE IN
PORT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM EDT.

$$




This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net