[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 081509
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1104 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE WEST
NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER WATER SOUTH OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...OR 28.35 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-091515-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1104 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 11 AM ADVISORY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS HOSPITAL WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARRIVE. ALL OTHER KEYS HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE
AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. ANY RESIDENTS IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS...AND BRING INSIDE
ANY OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST
VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDE IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE FOLLOWING
ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE
KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND
SPEEDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS...IN HEAVIER SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 51 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 37 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW
POSTED FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. SNAKE CREEK AND OLD
JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE
FURTHER TONIGHT...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO
45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL KEYS WATERS ON TUESDAY. STRONGER
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF KEY WEST OUT TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT
14 TO 20 FEET WEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE TO
THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-091515-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1104 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 11 AM ADVISORY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS HOSPITAL WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARRIVE. ALL OTHER KEYS HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE
AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. ANY RESIDENTS IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS...AND BRING INSIDE
ANY OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST
VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDE IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE FOLLOWING
ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE
KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND
SPEEDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS...IN HEAVIER SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 51 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 37 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW
POSTED FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. SNAKE CREEK AND OLD
JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE
FURTHER TONIGHT...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO
45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL KEYS WATERS ON TUESDAY. STRONGER
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF KEY WEST OUT TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT
14 TO 20 FEET WEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE TO
THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


$$

APA





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