[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 8 07:43:57 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 081243
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
839 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 8 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 800 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 340 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND A WEST TO WEST-
NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS TRACK
THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL CUBA TODAY...AND
EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 10 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IKE MOVES OVER CENTRAL CUBA
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...OR 28.35 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-091245-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
839 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 8 AM ADVISORY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS HOSPITAL WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARRIVE. ALL OTHER KEYS HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE
AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. ANY RESIDENTS IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY GARBAGE CANS...AND BRING INSIDE ANY
OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS AND MAGNITUDES
OF SPECIFIC STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IKE. THESE WILL
DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE PRECISE STRUCTURE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF
THE SYSTEM AS IT EMERGES FROM THE NORTHWEST COAST OF CUBA AND
MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND
SPEEDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS...IN HEAVIER SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW
POSTED FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. SNAKE CREEK AND OLD
JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO
25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS ALL KEYS WATERS ON TUESDAY.
STRONGER WINDS OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF KEY WEST OUT TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET BEYOND THE
REEF...EXCEPT 14 TO 20 FEET WEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-091245-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
839 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 8 AM ADVISORY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS HOSPITAL WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARRIVE. ALL OTHER KEYS HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL
PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY... STATE
AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. ANY RESIDENTS IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SECURE ANY GARBAGE CANS...AND BRING INSIDE ANY
OUTDOOR FURNITURE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS AND MAGNITUDES
OF SPECIFIC STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IKE. THESE WILL
DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE PRECISE STRUCTURE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF
THE SYSTEM AS IT EMERGES FROM THE NORTHWEST COAST OF CUBA AND
MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES CALL FOR STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS TO OCCUR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR PRIMARILY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH MAY
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WIND
SPEEDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE LOWER KEYS. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS...IN HEAVIER SQUALLS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW
POSTED FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. THE U.S. COAST GUARD HAS SCALED BACK
EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL ASSETS TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM...THUS THERE
IS A LACK OF RESOURCES TO RESPOND TO EMERGENCIES. SNAKE CREEK AND OLD
JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO
25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS ALL KEYS WATERS ON TUESDAY.
STRONGER WINDS OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF KEY WEST OUT TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET BEYOND THE
REEF...EXCEPT 14 TO 20 FEET WEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

APA





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