[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 8 05:14:55 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 081012
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
612 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...
.AT 5 AM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
AT 5 AM A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT
20 NM AND FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM.
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT
370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI OR ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH AND A WEST TO WEST-
NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL CUBA
TODAY, AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE
TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IKE MOVES OVER CENTRAL CUBA TODAY.
GMZ656-657-676-081830-
/O.NEW.KMFL.TR.A.0001.080908T1012Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
612 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT
20 NM AND FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA WITH 36 HOURS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO
CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH SHOULD TAKE
EARLY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT FROM POSSIBLE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS. SECURE MARINE CRAFT IN SAFE PORT
WITH EXTRA ROPE OR LINE TO ALLOW FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES DUE
TO STORM SURGE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT AFTER TODAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES CUBA
AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO, STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE WILL BE
HIGHEST AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FROM CAPE SABLE
EAST TO FLAMINGO.
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS BECOMING 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
AND 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT. EAST WINDS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE, 35 KNOTS OR HIGHER, ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY BECOMING
SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, FINALLY DIMINISHING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN SPIRAL BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SQUALLS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER SPIRAL BANDS OF
HURRICANE IKE.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE
OUTERMOST SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY EVENING AS
HURRICANE IKE MOVES FROM WESTERN CUBA INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL
WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS ASSOCIATED
WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS. HOWEVER, WINDS MAY BE HIGHER IF
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SEAS WILL SLOWLY BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET
TONIGHT AND 5 TO 7 FEET TUESDAY WITH SEAS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 11
FEET IN THE OUTERMOST GULF COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE. MARINERS
SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS HURRICANE IKE PASSES THROUGH THE GULF
AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO LIKELY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-081830-
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.S.0002.080908T1012Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
612 AM EDT MON SEP 8 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT THIS TIME NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND
SOUTH FLORIDA. MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE
PERIPHERAL EFFECTS FROM HURRICANE IKE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE OUTER SPIRAL BANDS OF IKE.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...GLADES...HENDRY...
INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE...INLAND
PALM BEACH...MAINLAND MONROE...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI
DADE...METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE IKE AS IT PASSES
ACROSS CUBA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IKE AFTER IT LEAVES CUBA
AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO, STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM TIDE WILL BE
HIGHEST AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST FROM MARCO ISLAND EAST TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FROM CAPE SABLE
EAST TO FLAMINGO. ELSEWHERE STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY WITH ONSHORE WINDS TODAY AND TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS ROTATING ONSHORE THE ATLANTIC
COAST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST
ON TUESDAY AND SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT AS IKE PASSES ACROSS CUBA
AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS, 39 MPH OR HIGHER, WILL BE LIKELY ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR MIAMI FL...
THERE IS ABOUT A 23 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FOR W PALM BEACH FL...
THERE IS ABOUT A 17 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FOR NAPLES FL...
THERE IS ABOUT A 35 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS,
39 MPH OR GREATER, THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS CONTINUALLY TRAIN ACROSS
THE SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR BRIEF
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS OF
SQUALLS OF HURRICANE IKE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON LASTING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
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