[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 070332
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1132 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...HURRICANE IKE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...

.AT 1100 PM EDT...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST...VERY NEAR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS...OR ABOUT 730 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUNDAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST LATE SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS EARLY SUNDAY. IKE SHOULD
THEN MOVE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF EASTERN
CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE IKE MOVES OVER
EASTERN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...OR 27.96 INCHES.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-070730-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1132 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO INCLUDE FLORIDA TURNPIKE TOLL
SUSPENSION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

AT THIS TIME THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY
EVACUATION FOR ALL VISITORS...RECREATIONAL VEHICLES...TRAVEL AND
BOAT TRAILERS. VISITORS SHOULD LEAVE THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
OFFICIALS SUGGEST RELOCATING TO HOTELS ON THE MAINLAND WELL AWAY
FROM COASTAL AREAS. TOLL COLLECTION HAS BEEN SUSPENDED AT THE CARD
SOUND BRIDGE AND ON THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE. VISITORS NEEDING TO FIND
INFORMATION ON AVAILABLE HOTELS IN FLORIDA MAY CALL THE VISIT FLORIDA
VISITOR ASSISTANCE HOT LINE AT 1-800-287-8598.

CURRENTLY...MOBILE HOME AND LIVE ABOARD BOAT RESIDENTS ARE ORDERED TO
EVACUATE BEGINNING AT 800 AM SUNDAY MORNING. GENERAL MANDATORY
EVACUATION ORDERS FOR FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS ARE PLANNED TO BEGIN
SUNDAY IN THREE PHASES...BEGINNING WITH ALL LOWER KEYS RESIDENTS
INCLUDING THE CITY OF KEY WEST AT 800 AM...MIDDLE KEYS RESIDENTS
INCLUDING MARATHON AND KEY COLONY BEACH BEGINNING AT NOON...AND
FINALLY THE UPPER KEYS RESIDENTS...INCLUDING ISLAMORADA AND OCEAN
REEF AT 400 PM. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE
PLANNING TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE EVACUATION PLANS EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...FOLLOWING THE 5 AM ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. ALL KEYS RESIDENTS SHOULD FINISH HURRICANE
PREPARATIONS OVERNIGHT WITH THE INTENT OF DEPARTING SUNDAY AT THE
PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED TIMES. ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CHECK LOCAL
MEDIA...THE MONROE COUNTY WEBSITE...OR CHANNEL 76 BEFORE LEAVING. THE
EVACUATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...BEFORE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE. THE OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY
SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY...JUST OFF THE FLORIDA
TURNPIKE AT U.S. ROUTE 41...TAMIAMI TRAIL...WILL BE OPENING AT 800 AM
SUNDAY MORNING...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW PETS. THE CITY OF KEY WEST WILL
OPERATE AN EVACUATION SHUTTLE STARTING AT 800 AM SUNDAY MORNING...FOR
RESIDENTS WHO LACK THEIR OWN MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION. CALL 293-6426
OR CHECK THE CITY OF KEY WEST WEBSITE FOR PICK-UP LOCATIONS AND
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS
ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED ON
MONDAY. THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS WILL REMAIN OPEN FOR ALL
COMMERCIAL FLIGHTS AND GENERAL AVIATION THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
EVENING.

...WINDS...

WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY
MONDAY. WINDS MAY BECOME UNSAFE FOR TRAVEL BY MONDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 54 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 13 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

BOAT OWNERS SHOULD FINISH SECURING THEIR VESSELS OVERNIGHT...AND BE
PREPARED TO EVACUATE STARTING SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNAKE CREEK AND THE
OLD JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE
TRAFFIC TONIGHT...BUT MAY LOCK DOWN AT 800 AM SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 15 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. IF YOU
ARE PLANNING ON DRIVING YOUR BOAT OUT OF THE KEYS ON A TRAILER...PLAN
TO DO SO OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF
HURRICANE IKE TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM SUNDAY
MORNING...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON











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