[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 15 21:39:09 CDT 2008


WTNT41 KNHC 160238
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1100 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

SURFACE DATA AND CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED
OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HONDURAS.  THE DEPRESSION HAS THUS
DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY
ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.

THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF
HEAVY RAINS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      16/0300Z 15.3N  85.9W    25 KT
 12HR VT     16/1200Z 15.1N  86.9W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     17/0000Z 15.0N  88.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     17/1200Z 15.1N  89.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER RHOME
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