[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 15 20:38:47 CDT 2008


WTCA82 TJSJ 160137
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE OMAR INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

....OMAR BECOMES CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...MOVING QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE VIRGIN AND NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

.AT 800 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 65.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST.
CROIX OR ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ST. THOMAS OR ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF VIEQUES OR ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH OF
CULEBRA AND ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OMAR IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OMAR IS EXPECTED TO BE A STRONG CATEGORY
TWO HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ALSO...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD INTO THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND SHOULD SPREAD OVER THE LEEWARD ISLAND DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER WAS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES... WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF OMAR. IN ADDITION...
 OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE
WEST- AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLANDS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND
DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES.

VIZ002-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST CROIX-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND INTENSITY UPDATED.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THURSDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THIS HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO SECURE AND
PROTECT LIFE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED BEFORE MIDNIGHT. TORRENTIAL
RAINS THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING PROBLEMS...AS WELL
AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE
AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER AREAS FOR THE DURATION
OF THIS EVENT BEFORE ITS TOO LATE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM SURGE OF 3-4 FEET ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE OMAR IS
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES ACROSS OR NEAR ST
CROIX. HIGH SEAS GENERATED ON THE RIGHT...OR EASTERN SIDE OF
OMAR...WILL PRODUCE VERY HIGH POUNDING SURF ALONG THE REEF LINES
AND BEACHES OF SOUTHERN ST CROIX. THE COMBINATION OF ELEVATED
TIDES...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE...AND THE RUNUP OF THESE VERY
LARGE WAVES ALONG THE BEACHES AND SHORE LINES...IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ST
CROIX. WATER LEVELS MAY RISE 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THESE
COAST LINES JUST AHEAD...AND THROUGH A FEW HOURS AFTER...THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR OVERNIGHT. WESTERN COASTAL SECTIONS ALSO MAY SEE
SIGNIFICANT BUT SLIGHTLY LOWER WATER LEVEL RISES WITH THE PASSAGE
OF OMAR...AND ARE ALSO LIKELY TO SEE COASTAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS WITH WIND GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH. WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE
TO SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR..AND THEN
REACH HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND LAST INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FLASH
FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN ST CROIX.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$

PRZ001>011-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND INTENSITY UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

 FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INTERESTS ACROSS THE ISLAND SHOULD ALREADY HAVE COMPLETED STORM
PREPARATIONS. HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING...AS WELL AS
LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS
SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS
EVENT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 1-2 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM OMAR HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO REACH
THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...

RESIDENTS OF EAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO SHOULD
PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE GUSTS JUST
UNDER HURRICANE FORCE LATER TONIGHT.  STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS
INTERIOR. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$

AMZ712-735-742-745-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...AND INTENSITY UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED
ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF
OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES... AS WELL AS EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS
ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY MOORED THEIR VESSELS IN
HURRICANE SAFE HAVENS...AND EVACUATED INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF
OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF
A HURRICANE.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE MOVING INTO THE WATERS OF ST CROIX
AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO...AND THEN SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO REACH ST CROIX AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN ST THOMAS
AND ST JOHN AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXTEND OUTWARD 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF OMAR...WITH 50 KNOT
WINDS EXPECTED TO EXTEND 45 MILES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
HURRICANE.


...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$

PRZ012-013-VIZ001-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THIS HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO SECURE AND
PROTECT LIFE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
TORRENTIAL RAINS THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO
LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. THIS MAY YIELD A COMBINED STORM SURGE AND WAVE RUN-UP OF
4-6 FEET ACROSS VULNERABLE COASTLINES OF SOUTHERN ST CROIX.
NORMALLY
TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE SOUTH AND WEST COASTS OF
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. LONG PERIOD
SWELLS GENERATED FROM OMAR ARE ALREADY REACHING THE SOUTH COASTS
OF ST CROIX AND VIEQUES...AND MAY INDUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF
COASTAL
INUNDATION THIS EVENING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH ARE BEGINNING ALONG THE LOCAL
ISLANDS AND WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE DURING THE
NEXT HOUR...AND THEN REACH HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND
LAST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FLASH
FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN ST CROIX.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...AND INTENSITY UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED
ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF
OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES... AS WELL AS EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS
ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY MOORED THEIR VESSELS IN
HURRICANE SAFE HAVENS...AND EVACUATED INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF
OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE
OF A HURRICANE.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE QUICKLY MOVING INTO THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS OF ST CROIX AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ST CROIX AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN
ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXTEND OUTWARD 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF OMAR...WITH
50 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED TO EXTEND 45 MILES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE HURRICANE.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$

AMZ741-170145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
937 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...AND INTENSITY UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AS ROUGH
AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DO NOT SEEK
SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO EXTEND
INTO THE MONA PASSAGE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 12 MIDNIGHT.

$$




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