[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 15 17:05:35 CDT 2008
WTCA82 TJSJ 152204
HLSSJU
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE OMAR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...OMAR CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TOWARDS ST
CROIX AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
.AT 500 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 15.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST
CROIX...ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF VIEQUES...ABOUT 175
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CULEBRA...ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF ST THOMAS...AND ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.
DATA FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OMAR IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OMAR
SHOULD BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. ALSO...STRONGER WINDS... ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...
ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES... WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 20 INCHES...ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF OMAR. IN ADDITION...
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE
WEST- AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE TO
COASTAL STRUCTURES.
PRZ001>011-162215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INTERESTS ACROSS THE ISLAND SHOULD ALREADY HAVE COMPLETED STORM
PREPARATIONS. HEAVY RAINS TODAY AND THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD
TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING PROBLEMS...AS
WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS POTENTIALLY
VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER AREAS FOR THE
DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 1-2 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM OMAR HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO REACH
THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
RESIDENTS OF EAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO SHOULD
PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE GUSTS JUST
UNDER HURRICANE FORCE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS
SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CURRENTLY RANGES FROM 4 PERCENT ALONG THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
COASTS TO 45 PERCENT AT CEIBA ALONG THE EAST COAST...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 2 PERCENT OR LESS ACROSS
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS
INTERIOR. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT
OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 9 PM.
$$
AMZ712-735-742-745-162215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
ALONG THE NORTH...WEST...AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INTERESTS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED STORM
PREPARATIONS.
...SEAS...
WIND GENERATED SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 7 TO 10 FEET THIS
EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH THROUGH WEST OF
PUERTO RICO. LONG PERIOD SWELLS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO REACH THE SOUTH
COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND WILL INCREASE FURTHER THROUGHOUT THE NEXT
12 HOURS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHWEST COASTAL SECTIONS.
...WINDS...
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 9 PM.
$$
PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-162215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THIS HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO SECURE AND
PROTECT LIFE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
TORRENTIAL RAINS THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO
LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. THIS MAY YIELD A COMBINED STORM SURGE AND WAVE RUN-UP OF
4-6 FEET ACROSS VULNERABLE COASTLINES OF SOUTHERN ST CROIX. NORMALLY
TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE SOUTH AND WEST COASTS OF
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. LONG PERIOD
SWELLS GENERATED FROM OMAR ARE ALREADY REACHING THE SOUTH COASTS
OF ST CROIX AND VIEQUES...AND MAY INDUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF COASTAL
INUNDATION THIS EVENING.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS MOMENTARILY...AND INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AND THEN REACH
HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND LAST INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS THURSDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FLASH
FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED IN ST CROIX.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 9 PM.
$$
AMZ710-715-722-725-732-162215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND ALONG THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED
ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF
OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES... AS WELL AS EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS
ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY MOORED THEIR VESSELS IN
HURRICANE SAFE HAVENS...AND EVACUATED INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF
OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF
A HURRICANE.
...SEAS...
SEAS GENERATED WITHIN 20 MILES TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER OF OMAR ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD IN EXCESS OF 20 FEET AND WILL
PUSH ASHORE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF ST CROIX TONIGHT...TO PRODUCE
BREAKING WAVES OF 25 TO 35 FEET ALONG THE SOUTH COASTAL REEF
LINES. ELSEWHERE...VERY STEEP AND CONFUSED SEAS WILL GROW TO 14 TO
18 FEET AND OMAR MOVES THROUGH THE AREA WATERS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS OF ST CROIX AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO JUST BEFORE
SUNSET AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO REACH ST CROIX AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN ST THOMAS
AND ST JOHN AROUND 3 AM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXTEND OUTWARD 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF OMAR...WITH 50 KNOT
WINDS EXPECTED TO EXTEND 45 MILES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
HURRICANE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PASSAGE OF OMAR... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG
AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 9 PM.
$$
AMZ741-162215-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
604 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTEREST
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS EARLY THIS EVENING. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF A
HURRICANE.
...SEAS...
WIND GENERATED SEAS FROM OMAR ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 9 FEET
LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS OMAR MOVES THROUGH THE LOCAL EASTERN
WATERS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO EXTEND
INTO THE MONA PASSAGE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF OMAR AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 9 PM.
$$
SS
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