[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 15 14:09:58 CDT 2008
WTCA82 TJSJ 151908
HLSSJU
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE OMAR INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...OMAR CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND HAS BEGUN
TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...
.AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO BE NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ST CROIX AND ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN BACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER
TODAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. ON THIS TRACK...OMAR IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.
DATA FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OMAR IS A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OMAR SHOULD BE A CATEGORY
2 HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ALSO...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 20 INCHES ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF OMAR. IN ADDITION...
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE
WEST- AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLANDS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND
DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES.
PRZ001>011-161915-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INTERESTS ACROSS THE ISLAND ARE URGED TO RUSH TO COMPLETION STORM
PREPARATIONS IMMEDIATELY...AS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAINS TODAY AND THURSDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 1-2 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM OMAR HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO REACH
THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE CAUSED
ISOLATED AREAS OF COASTAL INUNDATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
...WINDS...
RESIDENTS OF EAST AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO SHOULD
PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE GUSTS JUST
UNDER HURRICANE FORCE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS
SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CURRENTLY RANGES FROM 9 PERCENT ALONG THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
COASTS TO 60 PERCENT AT CEIBA ALONG THE EAST COAST...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 2 PERCENT ACROSS
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND TO 10 PERCENT AT CEIBA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT
OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
AMZ712-735-742-745-161915-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
ACROSS NORTH...WEST...AND SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INTERESTS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED STORM
PREPARATIONS...AS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOVING INTO THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF
OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE PUERTO RICO. MARINERS
ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD SEEK HURRICANE SAFE HAVEN FOR THEIR
VESSELS...AND EVACUATE INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF OMAR. DO NOT
SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.
...SEAS...
WIND GENERATED SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 7 TO 10 FEET THIS
EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. LONG PERIOD SWELLS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO
REACH THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND WILL INCREASE FURTHER
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
...WINDS...
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT
OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-161915-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX THROUGH 5:45 PM.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THIS HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO SECURE AND
PROTECT LIFE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. TORRENTIAL RAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 1-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE
ELEVATED TIDES. THIS MAY YIELD A COMBINED STORM SURGE AND WAVE
ACTION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ACROSS VULNERABLE COASTLINES OF ST CROIX.
NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE SOUTH AND WEST COASTS OF
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
LONG PERIOD SWELLS GENERATED FROM OMAR ARE ALREADY REACHING THE
SOUTH COASTS OF ST CROIX AND VIEQUES...AND MAY INDUCE ISOLATED
AREAS OF COASTAL INUNDATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING
HOURS...AND THEN REACH HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND LAST
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ACROSS CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY IS 67 TO 75 PERCENT...AND FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS 13 TO 20 PERCENT.
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY IS 77 TO 94 PERCENT...AND FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 22 TO 43 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT
OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
AMZ710-715-722-725-732-161915-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION...INTENSITY AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND EAST AND
SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED
ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY MOVING INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF OMAR ARE
GENERATING HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...
AS WELL AS EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS ACROSS
THESE COASTS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY MOORED THEIR VESSELS IN
HURRICANE SAFE HAVENS...AND EVACUATED INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF
OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF
A HURRICANE.
...SEAS...
SEAS GENERATED WITHIN 20 MILES TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER OF OMAR ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD IN EXCESS OF 20 FEET AND WILL
PUSH ASHORE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF ST CROIX TONIGHT...TO PRODUCE
BREAKING WAVES OF 25 TO 35 FEET ALONG THE SOUTH COASTAL REEF
LINES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND OUTWARD 15
MILES FROM THE CENTER OF OMAR...WITH 50 KNOT WINDS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND 45 MILES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE HURRICANE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS OF ST CROIX AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO JUST BEFORE
SUNSET AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO REACH ST CROIX AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN ST THOMAS
AND ST JOHN AROUND 3 AM.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT
OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
AMZ741-161915-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
308 PM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
BY NOON TODAY AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE
PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES UP TO 2 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH AND
WEST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED TIDES.
NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST COAST
OF THE ISLAND ARE LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO EXTEND
INTO THE MONA PASSAGE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF OMAR AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
SS
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