[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 15 06:36:55 CDT 2008
WTCA82 TJSJ 151136
HLSSJU
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE OMAR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
736 AM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...OMAR CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AS A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...
.AT 500 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OMAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
OMAR WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... OMAR WOULD MOVE
ACROSS ST CROIX LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OMAR
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 105 MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO
20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF OMAR. IN ADDITION...
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE
WEST- AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE TO
COASTAL STRUCTURES.
PRZ001>011-161145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
736 AM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FOR MAINLAND PUERTO RICO. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INTERESTS ACROSS THE ISLAND ARE URGED TO RUSH TO COMPLETION STORM
PREPARATIONS BY NOON AT THE VERY LATEST TODAY...AS TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAINS TODAY AND
THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND
RIVER FLOODING PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS
ACROSS POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO
SAFER AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 1-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE ISLAND LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES.
...WINDS...
RESIDENTS OF EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO
SHOULD PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
POSSIBLE GUSTS JUST UNDER HURRICANE FORCE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CURRENTLY RANGES FROM 7 PERCENT ALONG THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
COASTS TO 35 PERCENT AT CEIBA ALONG THE EAST COAST...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 2 PERCENT ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND TO 6 PERCENT AT CEIBA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AT 9 AM.
$$
PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-161145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
736 AM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CULEBRA AND VIEQUES. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD
RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS BEFORE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
TO SECURE AND PROTECT LIFE IN THE EVENT THAT HURRICANE OMAR MAKES
LANDFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY OR EARLY
EVENING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEFORE MIDNIGHT. WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND
RIVER FLOODING PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS
ACROSS POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO
SAFER AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 1-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED
TIDES. NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
COASTS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES ARE EXPECTED TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
ACTION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS MORNING...AND INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND
THEN POTENTIALLY REACH HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AND LAST
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ACROSS CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY IS 45 TO 48 PERCENT...AND FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 12 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AT 9 AM.
$$
AMZ710-715-722-725-732-161145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
736 AM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND EASTERN PUERTO
RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE WATERS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS BY NOON TODAY AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL
MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND
LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AS WELL AS EAST AND
SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD SEEK
HURRICANE SAFE HAVEN FOR THEIR VESSELS...AND EVACUATE INLAND FOR
THE DURATION OF OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL
DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2-3 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH AND
EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE
ELEVATED TIDES. NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF ST CROIX AND THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF ST THOMAS...
CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES ARE LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THIS MORNING...AND
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND
THEN REACH HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AND LAST INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. MARINE INTERESTS ALONG THESE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS JUST UNDER HURRICANE FORCE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF OMAR...
ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AT 9 AM.
$$
AMZ712-735-741-742-745-161145-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
736 AM AST WED OCT 15 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
ACROSS NORTH AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
BY NOON TODAY AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN ADVANCE OF OMAR WILL
GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND LARGE WAVE ACTION ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ACROSS THE NORTH
AND WEST COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MARINERS ACROSS THESE COASTS
SHOULD SEEK HURRICANE SAFE HAVEN FOR THEIR VESSELS...AND EVACUATE
INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF OMAR. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR
VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES UP TO 2 FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH AND
WEST COASTS OF THE ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.
WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED TIDES.
NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST COAST OF
THE ISLAND ARE LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS LATER THIS MORNING...AND
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. MARINE INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH AND WEST
COASTAL AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF
OMAR...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED AT 9 AM.
$$
SS
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list