[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 150105
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM OMAR INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
905 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM OMAR NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

.AT 800 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS LOCATED BY
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 335 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO...OR 335 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ST CROIX...365 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...330 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF VIEQUES...AND 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CULEBRA.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. A TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...OMAR WOULD MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OMAR IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-160115-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
905 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...POSITION AND TRACK UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS BEFORE
WEDNESDAY NOON...AS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH RAIN ACCUMULATIONS DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF TWO TO FOUR FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE
ELEVATED TIDES. NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF ST CROIX AND THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF ST THOMAS...
CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES ARE LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND THEN REACH HURRICANE
FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT ACROSS ST CROIX...AND LAST INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. RESIDENTS OF ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN SHOULD
PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS JUST UNDER
HURRICANE FORCE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGHER WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR ST CROIX...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39
MPH OR GREATER IS 70 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER
IS 20 PERCENT.

FOR ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 50 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF 74
MPH OR GREATER IS 13 PERCENT.

FOR CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 43 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER
IS 10 PERCENT.

FOR EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 35 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF
74 MPH OR GREATER IS 6 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 20 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
OMAR...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE 11:30 PM.

$$

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-735-160115-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
905 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL
   WATERS...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL CARIBBEAN
   WATERS AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF 65.6 WEST...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS BEFORE NOON
ON WEDNESDAY AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN
ADVANCE OF OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND WAVE ACTION ALONG THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...AS WELL AS EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. MARINERS
ACROSS THESE COASTS SHOULD SEEK HURRICANE SAFE HAVEN FOR THEIR
VESSELS...AND EVACUATE INLAND FOR THE DURATION OF OMAR. DO NOT
SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF TWO TO FOUR FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE
ELEVATED TIDES. NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF ST CROIX AND THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF ST THOMAS...
CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES ARE LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS VERY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AND INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND THEN REACH
HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT ACROSS ST CROIX...AND LAST INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. RESIDENTS OF ST THOMAS AND ST
JOHN SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS JUST
UNDER HURRICANE FORCE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST PUERTO
RICO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR THE ST CROIX AREA...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 70 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF 74 MPH
OR GREATER IS 20 PERCENT.

FOR THE ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN AREA...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 50 PERCENT...AND FOR
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER IS 13 PERCENT.

FOR THE CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AREA...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 43 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF
74 MPH OR GREATER IS 10 PERCENT.

FOR EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO...THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER IS 35 PERCENT...AND FOR WINDS OF
74 MPH OR GREATER IS 6 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
OMAR...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE 11:30 PM.

$$

AMZ712-741-742-745-160115-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
905 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION...LOCATION AND TRACK UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS BEFORE
NOON ON WEDNESDAY AS ROUGH AND DANGEROUS COASTAL MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS IN ADVANCE OF OMAR WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND WAVE ACTION
ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH NIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST COASTS
ON THURSDAY. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER ABOARD YOUR VESSEL DURING THE
PASSAGE OF A HURRICANE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF ONE TO THREE FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED TIDES...
WITH STORM TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FEET EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH
COASTS ON THURSDAY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTH AND WESTERN
PUERTO RICO BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR
GREATER RANGES FROM 10 PERCENT ACROSS THE WATERS OF WESTERN
PUERTO RICO TO 35 PERCENT ALONG THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF
FAJARDO...AND FOR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER IS LESS THAN 6
PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
OMAR...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE SPIRAL BANDS...AND ALONG AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE CENTER OF ITS PATH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE 11:30 PM.

$$




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