[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 12 06:54:36 CDT 2008


ABNT20 KNHC 121154
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING INDICATE THAT AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BETTER ORGANIZED AND THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FORMATION...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING UNFAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE....IS
CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. THIS SYSTEM IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA


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