[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT42 KNHC 081032
TCDAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
530 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT PALOMA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 945 MB AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 115 KT.  THIS
SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INTENSITY FOR THE FIRST 36 HR OF THE
FORECAST.  THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...THE WIND
RADII...OR THE INTENSITY AT OTHER TIMES.

THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST NOW CALLS FOR PALOMA TO MAKE LANDFALL IN
CUBA AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.  THUS...THE STORM SURGE VALUES IN THE
PUBLIC ADVISORY HAVE BEEN INCREASED.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      08/1030Z 19.6N  79.8W   115 KT
 12HR VT     08/1800Z 20.1N  79.4W   115 KT
 24HR VT     09/0600Z 20.8N  78.2W   100 KT...NEAR COAST OF CUBA
 36HR VT     09/1800Z 21.4N  77.2W    70 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     10/0600Z 21.8N  76.5W    45 KT...OVER WATER
 72HR VT     11/0600Z 22.5N  76.0W    35 KT...DISSIPATING
 96HR VT     12/0600Z 23.0N  76.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     13/0600Z 23.0N  76.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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