[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 22:55:19 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 240353
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...DOLLY DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...
.AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH. A TURN BACK TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FURTHER INLAND...AND
DOLLY COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY LATE TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
9 INCHES IN HIDALGO COUNTY...3 TO 6 INCHES IN STARR. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF WILLACY
AND CAMERON COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER
IN WILLACY AND CAMERON WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN AREAS
ESPECIALLY HIDALGO COUNTY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THESE AREAS ARE
LIKELY.
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT LOWER OVERNIGHT. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
TOTAL SEAS ARE SUBSIDING AND WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN AND 10 AND 15
FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE. OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS SOMETIME
THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 70 TO 90 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE COASTAL LOCATIONS OF WILLACY...CAMERON AND KENEDY COUNTIES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT LOWER OVERNIGHT. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
TOTAL SEAS ARE SUBSIDING AND WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN AND 10 AND 15
FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE. OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 MPH EARLY THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 50 TO 60 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO
THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST
IN MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.
$$
TXZ253>255-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080724T0309Z-080724T1800Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN. THE RIO GRANDE RIVER HAS RISEN 4
FEET BUT REMAINS 11 FEET BELOW FLOOD STAGE. NO WARNING FOR RIVER
FLOODING ARE ANTICIPATED AS WATER WITHIN THE RIVER SHOULD REMAIN
IN ITS BANKS.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 MPH EARLY THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 50 TO 60 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON
COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST
IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.
$$
GMZ170-175-240800-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT.
SEAS HAVE LOWERED TO AROUND 14 FEET.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL ALL ADVISORIES OR WARNING
HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.
$$
TXZ248>250-252-240800-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ZAPATA...JIM HOGG...BROOKS AND STARR.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.
...WINDS...
CURRENTLY NORTHEAST WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 45 MPH WITH STRONGER RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 50
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS
INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE AREAS OF PERSISTENT
TORRENTIAL RAINS. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND
ARROYOS COULD BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE
RAINS FROM DOLLY LINGER.
BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...MAINLY
OVER BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list