[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 20:26:34 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 240124
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN BUT STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...
.AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE OR OVER RAYMONDVILLE IN WILLACY COUNTY.
DOLLY CONTINUES MOVING WEST TO NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH.THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...TAKING DOLLY
FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS. A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED
BY LATE TOMORROW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON
SCALE. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO
12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BUT LARGE
BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SHORE LINE THROUGH THE
EVENING.
GMZ170-175-240530-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.TR.W.0001.080724T0124Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS ARE DECREASING OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS WITH WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW HURRICANE FORCE BUT CONTINUE AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE
OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED. SEAS WILL BE SLOW IN SUBSIDING WITH 20 FOOT SEAS WELL
INTO THE NIGHT SUBSIDING TO AROUND 15 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15
FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 100 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM.
$$
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-240530-
/O.NEW.KBRO.TR.W.0001.080724T0124Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE EVENING. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO POUND
THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER OFFSHORE TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:
COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE. OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.
...WINDS...
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS IN
STRONGER RAIN BANDS...OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO
30 KNOTS SOMETIME THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 100
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM.
$$
TXZ253>255-240530-
/O.EXB.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080724T0900Z-080724T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T0900Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.
...WINDS...
A SMALL CIRCLE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE AROUND THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WHICH IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. WIDESPREAD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH
ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 70 TO 100
PERCENT. HE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 50 PERCENT
AROUND THE CENTER OF DOLLY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
$$
TXZ248>250-252-240530-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ZAPATA...HIM HOGG...BROOKS AND STARR.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.
...WINDS...
CURRENTLY NORTHEAST WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 45 MPH WITH STRONGER RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 50
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS
INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE AREAS OF PERSISTENT
TORRENTIAL RAINS. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND
ARROYOS COULD BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE
RAINS FROM DOLLY LINGER.
BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...MAINLY OVER
BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-240530-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...COASTAL AREAS OF KENEDY...WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE EVENING. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO POUND
THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER OFFSHORE TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR 3 TO 4 FOOT SURGE:
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
...WINDS...
A SMALL CIRCLE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE AROUND THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WHICH IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. HURRICANE GUSTS AROUND 75 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER AND
NEAR THE LAGUNA MADRE ESPECIALLY NEAR RAIN SQUALLS. WIDESPREAD
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO
100 PERCENT THE REST OF THE EVENING DIMINISHING 60 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 30 PERCENT
MAINLY NEAR AND OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO
THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
$$
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