[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 15:26:09 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 232023 PAA
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY MOVING STEADILY TOWARDS EASTERN
WILLACY COUNTY...
.AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF RAYMONDVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS NOW BACK TO MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 7 MPH. ON
THIS CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY IS NOW NEAR PORT
MANSFIELD AND WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN WILLACY
COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 95 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
HAS NOW DIMINISHED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 967 MB.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE EYE OF DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS NEAR THE TOWNS OF
PORT MANSFIELD AND ARROYO CITY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 95 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS
MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM
DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT
TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.
SEAS CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO
6 FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST
AND SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO STRUCTURES
ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL
LOCATION.
...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS CROSSING THE SOUTHERN LAGUNA
MADRE NEAR THE CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY LINE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.
THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER
THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL
MILES OFFSHORE. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHT INTO THIS EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS DOLLY MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING OVER THE WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTY PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
THE CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 95 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY
COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE MOST TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS
NOW OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN WILLACY AND NORTHERN CAMERON COUNTIES
WHERE RAINFALL RATES RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES AND HOUR WITH
ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES.
THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.
RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET.
TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY AND
INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS WILLACY
COUNTY AND THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF CAMERON COUNTY. IN KENEDY
COUNTY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.
ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR COASTAL
WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES RANGES FROM 50 TO 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN SOUTHERN
KENEDY COUNTY RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND THE NORTHERN SECTION OF CAMERON COUNTIES
SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED AMOUNTS FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN
OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES.
THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY
AND EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES. 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
OF UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR
AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY
AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREAS TO
THE NORTH OF THE EYE OF DOLLY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
TXZ253>255-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO EASTERN
WILLACY COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 95 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH.
THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.
RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND
NORTHERN CAMERON COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 45 TO 50
PERCENT IN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS 75 TO 95 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY
IS FROM 15 TO 30 PERCENT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OVER
NORTHERN HIDALGO COUNTY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND LAGUNA HEIGHTS.
THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY. 8
TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES DUE
TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER
AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE
SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST.
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES ACROSS EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. THE BEST
CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
TXZ248>250-252-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT THURSDAY NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
RAIN BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA AND STARR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND
SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM.
HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS THIS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES OR MORE.
...WINDS...
CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND WILL INCREASE
TO THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS
STARR...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT
OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN VALLEY WITH THE BEST PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN
BROOKS
COUNTY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST
AS TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 INCHES IN PERSISTENT TORRENTIAL
RAINS NEAR THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY
TODAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE RAINS
FROM DOLLY LINGER.
BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
SPEECE
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