[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 11:35:31 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 231633
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...THE EYE OF CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE DOLLY NEARING THE CAMERON
COUNTY COASTLINE...
.AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN THE WEST-NORTHWEST FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 964 MB.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
TXZ253>255-241645-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0300Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ALREADY OCCURRING OVER
WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE
INTO HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT TODAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 45 TO 50
PERCENT IN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS 75 TO 95 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS
FROM 15 TO 30 PERCENT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OVER NORTHERN
HIDALGO COUNTY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT.
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SPIRAL BANDS WILL CONTINUING MOVING INLAND
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 6 INCHES
JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING
IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES
TO SLOW DOWN.
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES CLOSER TO EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY.
THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. A
TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.
$$
TXZ248>250-252-241645-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0300Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AND WILL REMAIN SO UNTIL
LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA COUNTIES THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS
SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A
PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OR MORE.
...WINDS...
CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 MPH AND WILL INCREASE
TO 30 TO 40 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS
STARR...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...ZAPATA
AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY TODAY...AND MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT.
BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.
$$
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-241645-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION.
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS
GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND
OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY TEXAS. SEAS
CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN AT
THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.
ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
CAMERON COUNTY COASTLINE LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE
LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE
SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF
CAMERON COUNTY TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE
AND WILL REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH
CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT
SCALE 12 CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST
WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE PROBABILITY
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES
WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS DOLLY MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-241645-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. IN
KENEDY COUNTY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH
FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THROUGH MIDDAY.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.
ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR COASTAL
WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES RANGES FROM 50 TO 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN SOUTHERN
KENEDY COUNTY RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT.
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SPIRAL BANDS WILL CONTINUING MOVING INLAND
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 6 INCHES
JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING
IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES
TO SLOW DOWN.
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER OF
DOLLY APPROACHES THE WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTY COASTLINES OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.
$$
SPEECE
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