[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 09:23:22 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 231421 PAA
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS 40 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE WITH RAIN
BANDS INCREASING IN STRENGTH...
.AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES EAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE
REDUCTION IN THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY
WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 95 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...BUT MAY REACH CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.
PORT ISABEL REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 72 MPH...AND MATAMOROS MEXICO
REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 967 MB.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.
TXZ253>255-241430-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0100Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE U.S./MEXICO BORDER.
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 95 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED INTO THE EASTERN
HALF OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
AS THESE BANDS MOVE INLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OVER WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO HIDALGO COUNTY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS FROM 55 TO
85 PERCENT...WITH MOST OF CAMERON COUNTY ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 5 TO 10
PERCENT...WITH AREAS IN CAMERON COUNTY AROUND 20 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS THIS
MORNING AND THE INNER RAIN BANDS AROUND NOON AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
FREQUENT THROUGH THE MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER
EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE
CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE
ASHORE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.
$$
TXZ248>250-252-241430-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0100Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND MAY REACH CATEGORY TWO
STRENGTH THROUGH LANDFALL AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. OUTER RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA COUNTIES
THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION
OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THIS SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND. PEOPLE LIVING IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.
...WINDS...
NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATER THIS MORNING.
INCREASING TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 20 TO 35 PERCENT
FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS LESS THAN 3 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...AND
ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 9 AM AND 1 PM TODAY. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.
FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY TODAY...AND MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT.
BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT RAIN
BANDS MOVE OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.
$$
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-241430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA
MADRE AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY
TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN
AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.
ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.
AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.
...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA
MADRE AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY
TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN
AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS GREATER THAN 90
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 10 PERCENT IN THE
NORTHERN COASTAL ZONES TO NEAR 40 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN AREA.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS AWAY FROM
THE CENTER.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-241430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE
U.S./MEXICO BORDER. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH OR GREATER ARE OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL COUNTIES AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON AND COASTAL
WILLACY COUNTIES. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.
AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE.
SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF WATER
ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.
...WINDS...
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
COASTAL AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. IN KENEDY COUNTY...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE
FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THROUGH MIDDAY.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER OUTAGES...
HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD POP...AND SOME
POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.
ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE HAVING A
PROBABILITY NEAR 100 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS FOR AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IS AROUND 20
PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS KENEDY...CAMERON AND
WILLACY COUNTIES THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER
EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE
CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.
SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY!
PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IN THESE
AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.
WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND. AN
INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER
APPROACHES THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.
$$
SPEECE
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