[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 08:04:38 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KHGX 231302
HLSHGX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
802 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...DOLLY STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN TEXAS
COAST...
AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES EAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND NORTHWESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND
MIDDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 95 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY
COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE
COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. PORT ISABEL ON THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST JUST REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 72 MPH...AND MATAMOROS MEXICO REPORTED GUSTS TO 55
MPH.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY
REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.
GMZ330-350-370-241315-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
802 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...
STRENGTH...AND FORECASTED TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL
BAY AND GULF WATERS. IF DOLLY TAKES A SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER
THE FEW HOURS...THEN THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITY
OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WATERS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY
THROUGH THE DAY. DUE TO THE LONGER DURATION OF THIS MODERATELY
STRONGER EASTERLY FETCH...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE. TIDE LEVELS
WILL BE AROUND 3 TO 3.5 FEET DURING HIGH TIDE TIMES. TIDE LEVELS
ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR DIRECTION.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND MINOR EROSION OF OCEAN
FACING SAND DUNES AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF
CONDITIONS IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE
SWELLS. AVOID SWIMMING FROM BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS.
EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.
SAN LUIS PASS...
WED 9:05 PM. 3.0 FEET.
FREEPORT...
WED 8:30 PM. 3.7 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
WED 10:13 AM. 3.2 FEET.
WED 9:48 PM. 3.1 FEET.
NOTE: TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
...WINDS...
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
TO NEARING 35 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THESE WINDS HAVE
GENERATED 10 TO 14 FOOT OFFSHORE SEAS AND 6 TO 9 FOOT NEARSHORE
SEAS. EXPECT THESE CONTINUED SEA HEIGHTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 AM CDT.
$$
TXZ235>237-241315-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
802 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...
STRENGTH...AND FORECASTED TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. IF DOLLY TAKES A
SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN THERE WILL BE
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND GUSTS ALONG THE COAST. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD
PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THESE ELEVATED
TIDE LEVELS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS FOR COASTAL COUNTY RESIDENTS.
EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY. DUE
TO THE LONGER DURATION OF THIS MODERATELY STRONGER EASTERLY FETCH
...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE. TIDE LEVELS WILL APPROACH 3 TO 3.5 FEET
DURING HIGH TIDE TIMES. TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY
CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR DIRECTION.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND MINOR EROSION OF OCEAN
FACING SAND DUNES AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF
CONDITIONS IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE
SWELLS. AVOID SWIMMING FROM BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS.
EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.
SAN LUIS PASS...
WED 8:19 AM. 3.2 FEET.
WED 9:05 PM. 3.0 FEET.
FREEPORT...
WED 8:30 PM. 3.7 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
WED 10:13 AM. 3.2 FEET.
WED 9:48 PM. 3.1 FEET.
NOTE: TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
...WINDS...
AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS COASTLINE
THIS MORNING...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH INLAND. SUSTAINED 25 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 35 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS CAN BE
EXPECTED.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF SLIGHTLY UNDER
AN INCH TO AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. LOCALIZED
HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE TRAINING MAY
REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPORARY NUISANCE FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS AND RURAL ROADS...ALONG WITH PONDING ON COUNTY
ROADWAYS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 AM CDT.
$$
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