[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 05:03:06 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KHGX 231000
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE DOLLY STRENGTHENS AS IT APPROACHES THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICAN COASTLINE...

.AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 65 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A NORTHWESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND
MIDDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN
IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY
REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 976 MB...
28.82 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
BETWEEN 1 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...OVER
THE COASTAL AND NEAR COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS...OR OVER REGIONS TYPICALLY PRONE TO FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF AROUND 4 FEET...OR 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER OUR COASTLINE AND NORTH
FACING INLETS AND LOCAL BAYS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO THE MATAGORDA
SHIP CHANNEL DURING TODAY'S HIGH TIDE PERIODS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE FOLLOWING SECTIONS FOR ANY PERTINENT WIND
INFORMATION.

TXZ226-227-231100-
/O.CAN.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FORT BEND-WHARTON-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...STRENGTH...
AND FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

FORT BEND...WHARTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN THE EVENT THAT STRONGER WINDS REACH THE AREA...RESIDENTS
SHOULD TAKE CARE OF UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND
DECK FURNITURE BY MOVING THEM INDOORS OR SECURING THEM. ALTHOUGH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT THE AREA...BE
AWARE THAT WEDNESDAY'S MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY
GUST IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH.

...WINDS...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH AND THEN BECOME
MORE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF SLIGHTLY UNDER
AN INCH TO AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. LOCALIZED
HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE TRAINING MAY
REACH EXCEED 3 INCHES. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPORARY NUISANCE FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS AND RURAL ROADS...ALONG WITH PONDING ON COUNTY
ROADWAYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM CDT.

$$

GMZ330-350-370-241000-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...
STRENGTH...AND FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL
BAY AND GULF WATERS. IF DOLLY TAKES A SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER
THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...THEN THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY
THROUGH THE DAY. DUE TO THE LONGER DURATION OF THIS MODERATELY
STRONGER EASTERLY FETCH...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE. TIDE LEVELS WILL
APPROACH 3 TO 4 FEET DURING HIGH TIDE TIMES. TIDE LEVELS ARE
HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR DIRECTION.

EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND MINOR EROSION OF OCEAN FACING
SAND DUNES AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF CONDITIONS
IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE SWELLS. AVOID
SWIMMING FROM BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS. PLEASE DO NOT
ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS WHO MIGHT TRY TO RESCUE YOU.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  8:19 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.0 FEET.

FREEPORT...
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.1 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.7 FEET.

PORT O CONNOR...
              WED 10:13 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              WED  9:48 PM.       3.1 FEET.


NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
IF HURRICANE DOLLY GROWS LARGER...OR VEERS NORTH OF ITS CURRENT
TRACK. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THESE WINDS HAVE GENERATED
10 TO 16 FOOT OFFSHORE SEAS AND 6 TO 10 FOOT NEARSHORE SEAS.
EXPECT THESE CONTINUED SEA HEIGHTS THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ235>237-241000-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...
STRENGTH...AND FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. IF DOLLY TAKES A SLIGHT
NORTHERLY JOG OVER THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...THEN THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND
DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS FOR COASTAL COUNTY RESIDENTS.

EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY. DUE
TO THE LONGER DURATION OF THIS MODERATELY STRONGER EASTERLY FETCH
...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE. TIDE LEVELS WILL APPROACH 3 TO 4 FEET
DURING HIGH TIDE TIMES. TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY
CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR DIRECTION.

EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND MINOR EROSION OF OCEAN FACING
SAND DUNES AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF CONDITIONS
IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE SWELLS. AVOID
SWIMMING FROM BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS. PLEASE DO NOT
ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS WHO MIGHT TRY TO RESCUE YOU.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  8:19 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.0 FEET.

FREEPORT...
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.1 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.7 FEET.

PORT O CONNOR...
              WED 10:13 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              WED  9:48 PM.       3.1 FEET.


NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.


...WINDS...

AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS COASTLINE
THIS MORNING...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH INLAND. SUSTAINED 25 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 35 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS CAN BE
EXPECTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE
DOLLY WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF SLIGHTLY UNDER AN INCH TO
AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. LOCALIZED HEAVIER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE TRAINING MAY REACH
3 TO 5 INCHES. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPORARY NUISANCE FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AND RURAL ROADS...ALONG WITH PONDING ON COUNTY
ROADWAYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ238-241000-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GALVESTON-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...
STRENGTH...AND FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

GALVESTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. IF DOLLY TAKES A SLIGHT
NORTHERLY JOG OVER THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...THEN THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND
DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS FOR COASTAL COUNTY RESIDENTS.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 1.5 TO 2.0 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. ADDING THIS TO
THE ASTRONOMICAL LEVEL AT HIGH TIDE WILL PUSH TOTAL OBSERVED VALUES
TO AROUND 4 FEET AT HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING...MAINLY ALONG BEACH
FRONT LOCATIONS. WAVES ON TOP OF THESE HIGHER LEVELS WILL ALSO
CAUSE SOME BEACH RUN UP AND MINOR EROSION ISSUES. ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES LATER THIS EVENING WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS THIS MORNING
SO ALTHOUGH LEVELS WILL STILL BE QUITE ELEVATED...IT SHOULD NOT
POSE A COASTAL FLOOD THREAT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF CONDITIONS
IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE SWELLS. AVOID
SWIMMING FROM BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS. PLEASE DO NOT
ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS WHO MIGHT TRY TO RESCUE YOU.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

MORGANS POINT...
              WED  6:49 PM.       3.1 FEET.

CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
              WED  2:33 PM.       3.0 FEET.

EAGLE POINT...
              WED 12:22 PM.       3.1 FEET.

PORT BOLIVAR...
              WED  8:42 AM.       3.4 FEET.
              WED  9:28 PM.       3.1 FEET.

GALVESTON CHANNEL...
              WED  8:28 AM.       3.4 FEET.
              WED  9:14 PM.       3.1 FEET.

GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
              WED  7:22 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  8:08 PM.       3.6 FEET.

JAMAICA BEACH...
              WED 11:06 AM.       3.1 FEET.
              WED 11:52 PM.       2.9 FEET.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  8:19 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.0 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS COASTLINE
THIS MORNING...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH INLAND. SUSTAINED 25 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 35 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS CAN BE
EXPECTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE
DOLLY WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF SLIGHTLY UNDER AN INCH TO
AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. LOCALIZED HEAVIER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE TRAINING MAY REACH 3
TO 5 INCHES. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPORARY NUISANCE FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS AND RURAL ROADS...ALONG WITH PONDING ON COUNTY ROADWAYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM CDT.

$$




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