[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 20 13:02:47 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMHX 201802
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
202 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

NCZ047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104-211815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
202 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...EAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF
DARE...BEAUFORT...HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...CARTERET...AND ONSLOW.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...
185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINIMAL STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED FROM CRISTOBAL.

ON THE OCEAN SIDE...COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH. SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT WATER RISES
PEAKED AT A HALF TO ONE FOOT. FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO CAPE
HATTERAS...WATER LEVEL RISES WILL PEAK IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AT AROUND A FOOT. FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...WATER LEVELS WILL BE
NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT 10 PM TONIGHT.

MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET IN AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PAMLICO SOUND AND ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE RIVER ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AND OCRACOKE COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 FOOT RISES AS CRISTOBAL DEPARTS THE AREA TONIGHT.

WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT WILL BE 5 TO 7
FEET...HIGHEST ALONG THE OUTER BANKS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR EROSIONAL ISSUES. THERE WILL
BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG ALL AREA BEACHES CONTINUING
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STORM AFFECTS THE AREA.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF
THE IMMEDIATE COAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO
SEE THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS FROM CAPE
LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL LIKELY
COME IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AS RAIN BANDS FROM CRISTOBAL MOVE ONSHORE.
ISOLATD AMOUNTS OF UP TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER
BANDS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA. THIS COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES...
TORNADO THREAT IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THERE IS A SMALL
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS AND
SOUNDS THAT COULD MOVE ONSHORE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND
6 PM TODAY.

$$

AMZ135-150-152-154-156-158-211815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
202 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...EAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PEOPLE ON THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...
185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINIMAL STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED FROM CRISTOBAL.

ON THE OCEAN SIDE...COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH. SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT WATER RISES
PEAKED AT A HALF TO ONE FOOT. FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO CAPE
HATTERAS...WATER LEVEL RISES WILL PEAK IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AT AROUND A FOOT. FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...WATER LEVELS WILL BE
NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT 10 PM TONIGHT.

MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET IN AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PAMLICO SOUND AND ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE RIVER ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AND OCRACOKE COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 FOOT RISES AS CRISTOBAL DEPARTS THE AREA TONIGHT.

WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT WILL BE 5 TO 7
FEET...HIGHEST ALONG THE OUTER BANKS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR EROSIONAL ISSUES. THERE WILL
BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG ALL AREA BEACHES CONTINUING
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STORM AFFECTS THE AREA.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL
WATERS AND PAMLICO SOUND TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH OREGON INLET AND
THE EASTERN PAMLICO SOUND. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL
LIKELY COME IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL COASTAL
WATERS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. SEAS SEAS HAVE REACHED THEIR PEAK AND ARE
NOW DIMINISHING. SEAS THERE ARE 4 TO 6 FEET AND WILL SLOWLY DROP
THROUGH THE DAY. NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 10
FEET...LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AT 12 TO 14 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ALONG THE COASTAL
WATERS AND SOUNDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND
6 PM TODAY.

$$

RSB

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