[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 20 07:42:44 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMHX 201242
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
842 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

NCZ047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104-211245-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
842 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA AND ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF
DARE...BEAUFORT...HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...CARTERET...AND ONSLOW.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A
GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.   ON THIS TRACK...
THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND BEGIN TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE COAST BY TOMORROW.

RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NOW
NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINIMAL STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED FROM CRISTOBAL.

ON THE OCEAN SIDE...COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH. SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...WATER
LEVELS WILL BE NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY
MORNING AT 9 AM. FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...WATER LEVELS WILL BE
NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT 10 PM SUNDAY.

MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES OF 2 FEET IN AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PAMLICO SOUND AND ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE RIVER ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AND OCRACOKE COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 FOOT RISES AS CRISTOBAL DEPARTS THE AREA TONIGHT.

WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET...HIGHEST ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR
EROSIONAL ISSUES. THERE WILL BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS
ALONG AREA BEACHES CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM
AFFECTS THE AREA.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF
THE IMMEDIATE COAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO
SEE THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL LIKELY COME IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SCATTERED 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS TO 3 TO
4 INCHES IN MARTIN COUNTY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE
TO FIVE INCHES ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG THE COAST...WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY.

...TORNADOES...
TORNADO THREAT IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS AND
SOUNDS THAT COULD MOVE ONSHORE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND
NOON TODAY.

$$

AMZ135-150-152-154-156-158-211245-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
842 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA AND ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PEOPLE ON THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A
GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.   ON THIS TRACK...
THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND BEGIN TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE COAST BY TOMORROW.

RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NOW
NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINIMAL STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED FROM CRISTOBAL.

ON THE OCEAN SIDE...COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH. SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...WATER
LEVELS WILL BE NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY
MORNING AT 9 AM. FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...WATER LEVELS WILL BE
NEAR THEIR PEAK AROUND THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT 10 PM SUNDAY.

MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES OF 2 FEET IN AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PAMLICO SOUND AND ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE RIVER ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AND OCRACOKE COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 FOOT RISES AS CRISTOBAL DEPARTS THE AREA TONIGHT.

WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET...HIGHEST ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR
EROSIONAL ISSUES. THERE WILL BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS
ALONG AREA BEACHES CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM
AFFECTS THE AREA.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL
WATERS AND PAMLICO SOUND TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH OREGON INLET AND
THE EASTERN PAMLICO SOUND. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL
LIKELY COME IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL COASTAL
WATERS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. SEAS SEAS HAVE REACHED THEIR PEAK AND ARE
NOW DIMINISHING. SEAS THERE ARE 5 TO 7 FEET AND WILL SLOWLY DROP
THROUGH THE DAY. NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 10
FEET...LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AT 10 TO 12 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ALONG THE COASTAL
WATERS AND SOUNDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND
NOON TODAY.

$$

RSB

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