[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 191244
HLSILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
844 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-201245-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
844 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 8 AM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA OR 150 SOUTHWEST OF
WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...KEEPING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
VERY CLOSE TO THE CAROLINA COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
COASTAL SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING PENDER...NEW HANOVER...BRUNSWICK...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

MINIMAL SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...WITH WATER LEVEL RISES
UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES...ESPECIALLY FOR NEW
HANOVER AND PENDER COUNTIES AROUND HIGH TIDE AT 930 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE...COINCIDING WITH HIGH
TIDE TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTY BEACHES.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA COASTLINE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THE SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 22 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN
WILMINGTON...AND A 16 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
IN MYRTLE BEACH.

...INLAND FLOODING...

2 TO 4 INCH AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 3...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
TOTALS WILL BE ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL
SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN
THE FLOODING OF URBAN AND OTHER PRONE AREAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON.

$$

AMZ250-252-254-256-201245-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
844 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 8 AM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF
CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA OR 150 SOUTHWEST OF
WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...KEEPING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
VERY CLOSE TO THE CAROLINA COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PEOPLE ON THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF
CITY NORTH CAROLINA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.

...WINDS...

WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS OFF CAPE FEAR. THE STRONGEST WINDS...GUSTING
OVER 40 KNOTS...WILL OCCUR IN HEAVIER RAIN BANDS SURROUNDING THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION.

SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 6 TO 8 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OFF CAPE
FEAR. CONDITIONS NEAR INLET ENTRANCES WILL BECOME ESPECIALLY
ROUGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON.

$$

SRP/REK



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