[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 180529
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 895 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR DATA FROM CURACAO INDICATE THAT THE
CENTER OF THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF CURACAO AND ARUBA. THIS SYSTEM
IS ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY SQUALLS MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE NORTH OF
THE LOW. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME BUT
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA AND CENTRAL AMERICA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE. SINCE THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NICARAGUA
AND HONDURAS NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED. THIS SYSTEM IS
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. THIS ACTIVITY COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN GEORGIA COAST IS
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS MAINLY OVER WATER.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM...ESPECIALLY IF THE LOW
REMAINS OFFSHORE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT TO THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS




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