[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 11:42:25 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 311641
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST...
.AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT
GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
LAZ027-030-041-311915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TI.W.0003.080831T1641Z-080902T0200Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-VERNON-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
BEAUREGARD PARISH.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
CALCASIEU PARISH.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT. A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS
PLANNED TO BE IN EFFECT AT NOON TODAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING CALCASIEU PARISH BY MID-AFTERNOON ON
MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARD DERIDDER AND
LEESVILLE AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY NORTH
OF DERIDDER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
LAKE CHARLES.
TROPICAL STORM...53 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...10 PERCENT.
DERIDDER.
TROPICAL STORM...52 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...8 PERCENT.
LEESVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...52 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...6 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING...AND A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AND LASTING INTO
TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
TXZ181-182-216-311915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TI.W.0003.080831T1641Z-080902T0200Z/
JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
ORANGE COUNTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ORANGE COUNTY.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN END OF
SABINE LAKE AFTER THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE
FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING ORANGE COUNTY BY MONDAY EVENING...THEN
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER NEWTON AND JASPER COUNTIES AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ORANGE.
TROPICAL STORM...45 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...6 PERCENT.
NEWTON.
TROPICAL STORM...45 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...5 PERCENT.
JASPER.
TROPICAL STORM...41 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...4 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ032-033-043>045-311915-
/O.UPG.KLCH.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080901T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KLCH.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0200Z/
ACADIA-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WIND WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
A HURRICANE WIND WARNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO NOW IN
EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FINISH MAKING PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.
ACADIA.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR RESIDENTS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10. A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...AND FOR MOBILE HOMES SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
LAFAYETTE.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
UPPER ST. MARTIN.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE BREAUX BRIDGE...LAFAYETTE AND
OPELOUSAS AREAS BY MID-MORNING ON MONDAY. THESE WINDS WILL THEN
SPREAD INLAND AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST...REACHING THE
CROWLEY AND VILLE PLATTE AREAS BY NOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REACH THE BREAUX BRIDGE...
LAFAYETTE AND OPELOUSAS AREAS BY EARLY EVENING MONDAY...AND THE
CROWLEY AND VILLE PLATTE AREAS AFTER SUNSET.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE EYE
WALL OF A HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
MINOR DAMAGE TO BUILDING STRUCTURES. DAMAGE PRIMARILY TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...SHRUBBERY AND TREES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ST. MARTINVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...74 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...22 PERCENT.
LAFAYETTE.
TROPICAL STORM...70 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...19 PERCENT.
OPELOUSAS.
TROPICAL STORM...70 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...17 PERCENT.
VILLE PLATTE.
TROPICAL STORM...64 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...13 PERCENT.
CROWLEY.
TROPICAL STORM...65 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...17 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ055-311915-
/O.EXT.KLCH.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0200Z/
LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
LOWER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FINISH MAKING PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE STEPHENSVILLE AREA PRIOR TO
SUNRISE MONDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AROUND NOON.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EYE WALL OF A
HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SMALL RESIDENCES AND UTILITY BUILDINGS
WITH A MINOR AMOUNT OF CURTAINWALL FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES ARE
DESTROYED. FLOODING NEAR THE COAST DESTROYS SMALLER STRUCTURES
WITH LARGER STRUCTURES DAMAGED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. TERRAIN MAY BE
FLOODED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
STEPHENSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...80 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...25 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING...AND A FLOOD WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
GMZ450-470-311915-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO NEAR 15 FEET BY LATE
MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE
COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
TXZ215-311915-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON COUNTY.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AFTER
THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...
MAINLY IN GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE SABINE PASS
AND PORT ARTHUR AREAS DURING THE EVENING ON MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
PORT ARTHUR.
TROPICAL STORM...41 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...5 PERCENT.
BEAUMONT.
TROPICAL STORM...37 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...4 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...MAINLY
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ052>054-311915-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
IBERIA PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
ST. MARY PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
VERMILION PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL TO THE
EAST OF ATCHAFALAYA AND VERMILION BAYS...A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS IBERIA AND
ST. MARY PARISHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
INTO VERMILION PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST
TO THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT
THESE LEVELS...ALL OF ST. MARY PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED
WITH STORM SURGE...WITH IBERIA PARISH INUNDATED EXCEPT THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PARISH WEST OF NEW IBERIA ALONG
U.S. HIGHWAY 90 AND LA 182. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT
POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
VERMILION PARISH.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON
PARISHES ON TUESDAY.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST
TO THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
AT THESE LEVELS...MOST OF VERMILION PARISH WILL LIKELY BE
INUNDATED WITH STORM SURGE PAST LA 14 AND UP TO LA 82. THESE
LEVELS WOULD LIKELY SURPASS HURRICANE RITA'S STORM SURGE VALUES.
AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR MORGAN CITY
PRIOR TO SUNRISE MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES BY MID-MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY AREA
AROUND NOON MONDAY...AND THE NEW IBERIA AND ABBEVILLE AREAS BY
LATE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN VERMILION PARISH BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING MONDAY.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EYE WALL OF A
HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL ROOF
AND EXTERIOR DAMAGE. MORE SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES WITH GABLED
ROOFS MAY OCCUR. MANY INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE
DESTROYED...OTHERS WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. WOOD
FRAMED APARTMENTS WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION
OF MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY. ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE
UNAVAILABLE FOR DAYS...AND PERHAPS WEEKS...AFTER THE STORM PASSES.
MANY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED AND/OR UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
MORGAN CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...79 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...26 PERCENT.
NEW IBERIA.
TROPICAL STORM...75 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...23 PERCENT.
INTRACOASTAL CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...68 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...20 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY.
RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-311915-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 FEET BY LATE
MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE
COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE WATERS ADJACENT TO ATCHAFALAYA
BAY...BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ051-311915-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
CAMERON PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON PARISH.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CAMERON PARISH ON
TUESDAY ONCE ONSHORE FLOW AROUND THE BACK OF THE STORM IS
ESTABLISHED.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST
TO THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
THESE LEVELS WOULD LIKELY SURPASS HURRICANE RITA'S STORM SURGE
VALUES. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING CAMERON PARISH AROUND NOON ON MONDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN
AROUND SUNSET.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CAMERON.
TROPICAL STORM...50 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...9 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ028-029-031-042-311915-
/O.EXT.KLCH.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0200Z/
ALLEN-AVOYELLES-JEFFERSON DAVIS-RAPIDES-
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ALLEN...AVOYELLES...JEFFERSON DAVIS...RAPIDES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE MAKING PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN THE MARKSVILLE AND JENNINGS AREAS JUST AFTER
NOON ON MONDAY. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO ALLEN AND
RAPIDES PARISHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE EYE
WALL OF A HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
MINOR DAMAGE TO BUILDING STRUCTURES. DAMAGE PRIMARILY TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...SHRUBBERY AND TREES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
MARKSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...66 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
JENNINGS.
TROPICAL STORM...60 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...14 PERCENT.
OBERLIN.
TROPICAL STORM...59 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...10 PERCENT.
ALEXANDRIA.
TROPICAL STORM...57 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...7 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.
$$
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