[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 311610
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES AS
WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STONE...GEORGE...
GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
WASHINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-011615-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA COAST. HURRICANE
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE STORM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
THIS MORNING. GUSTAV IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AND IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND
MIDDAY MONDAY. TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF GUSTAV...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 50 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD FOR 200 MILES. SHOULD THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVE SLIGHTLY TO
THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WOULD
AFFECT COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE SPECIFIED
MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PERSONS SHOULD COMPLETE
THEIR PREPARATIONS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE TODAY FOR HURRICANE
CONDITIONS THAT ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO
SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS.
STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST
EVACUATION INFORMATION. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE
THEM AND SEEK SAFER SHELTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
ON MONDAY MORNING. STARTING MONDAY MORNING...THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM
TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY FROM CEDAR
POINT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTERSVILLE BAY...CODEN AND BAYOU LA BATRE.
ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY...TOTAL STORM TIDE FROM THE
FOWL RIVER AREA NORTH ACROSS THE THEODORE INDUSTRIAL CANAL...DOG
RIVER...TO THE ALABAMA STATE DOCKS AND PORT OF MOBILE COULD REACH 4
TO 6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY
AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY...TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE 4 TO 6 FEET. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV
MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE
IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH WINDS
AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THE ALABAMA COASTAL
AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH HIGHER HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS ON MONDAY...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV BRINGS
THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ISOLATED AMOUNTS FROM 8
TO 10 INCHES ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE CASE THAT RAIN BANDS
SET UP AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS...ESPECIALLY MONDAY
NIGHT. THESE AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN WOULD RESULT IN AN INCREASED
POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 200 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ630-650-670-011615-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST FROM THE
SOUTHERN GULF THIS MORNING...HEADED FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES...INCLUDING
MOBILE BAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION TODAY ALL
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE YOUR MARINE INTERESTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO
AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...WITH HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 20 FEET
ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 35 FEET AT BUOY 42040
LOCATED 73 MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE
MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 200 PM CDT.



$$

GMZ655-675-011615-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HURRICANE GUSTAV...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF LATE THIS MORNING...IS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST MAKING
LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY.
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 200 MILES. THESE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT FOR 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS SHOULD COMPLETE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS
TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE YOUR MARINE INTERESTS. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BY THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS
EVENING AND MONDAY. WITH THESE WINDS... HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING
FROM AROUND 20 FEET ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 35
FEET AT BUOY 42040 LOCATED 73 MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN
ISLAND.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 200 PM CDT.

$$

FLZ001>006-011615-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...AND IS MOVING QUICKLY TO THE NORTHWEST. GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND
MIDDAY MONDAY. TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 200 MILES. THESE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE
SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

PERSONS SHOULD COMPLETE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS
TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH
FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION
FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST ON MONDAY MORNING. THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD
REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY OVER FAR WESTERN PORTIONS
OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING PENSACOLA. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A
NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH WINDS
AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE
LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON
MONDAY...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 200 PM CDT.


$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-011615-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0001.080901T1200Z-080902T0600Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1110 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY
TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM
TUESDAY.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 520
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. NOAA BUOY 42003 RECENTLY
REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ON MONDAY.

MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW
HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL
CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS
MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL
WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST
NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME
ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL
SNAP. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
STARTING MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV APPROACHES
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ISOLATED AMOUNTS
FROM 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE CASE THAT RAIN
BANDS SET UP AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS...ESPECIALLY
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN WOULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
EVENING INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 200 PM CDT.

$$

SHEPHERD

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net