[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 07:55:57 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 311255
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV EDGING CLOSER TO THE LOUISIANA COASTLINE...
.AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST OR ABOUT
490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
TRACK... GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR
120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
GMZ450-470-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO NEAR 15 FEET BY LATE
MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE
COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL SPREAD OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
TXZ215-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON COUNTY.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AFTER
THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...
MAINLY IN GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE SABINE PASS
AND PORT ARTHUR AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY...THEN
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
PORT ARTHUR.
TROPICAL STORM...40 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...5 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...MAINLY
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 FEET BY LATE MONDAY
MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE WATERS ADJACENT TO ATCHAFALAYA
BAY...BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
LAZ051>054-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON...VERMILION
AND IBERIA PARISHES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
CAMERON PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
IBERIA PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
ST. MARY PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
VERMILION PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL TO THE
EAST OF ATCHAFALAYA AND VERMILION BAYS...A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 8
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS IBERIA AND
ST. MARY PARISHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
INTO VERMILION PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST
TO THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT
THESE LEVELS...ALL OF ST. MARY PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED
WITH STORM SURGE...WITH IBERIA PARISH INUNDATED EXCEPT THE EXTREME
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PARISH WEST OF NEW IBERIA ALONG U.S.
HIGHWAY 90 AND LA 182. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE
SCENARIO.
VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON
PARISHES ON TUESDAY.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO
THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT
THESE LEVELS...MOST OF VERMILION PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED
WITH STORM SURGE PAST LA 14 AND UP TO LA 82. THESE LEVELS WOULD
LIKELY SURPASS HURRICANE RITA'S STORM SURGE VALUES. AGAIN...THIS
IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR MORGAN CITY
PRIOR TO SUNRISE MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES BY NOON TIME MONDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY AREA
JUST AFTER NOON MONDAY...AND THE NEW IBERIA AREA BY EARLY EVENING
MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING MONDAY.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EYE WALL OF A
HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL ROOF
AND EXTERIOR DAMAGE. MORE SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES WITH GABLED ROOFS
MAY OCCUR. MANY INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED...OTHERS
WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. WOOD FRAMED APARTMENTS
WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES IS
LIKELY. ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE UNAVAILABLE FOR DAYS...AND
PERHAPS WEEKS...AFTER THE STORM PASSES. MANY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED
AND/OR UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
MORGAN CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...79 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...26 PERCENT.
NEW IBERIA.
TROPICAL STORM...74 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...22 PERCENT.
INTRACOASTAL CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...68 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...20 PERCENT.
CAMERON.
TROPICAL STORM...50 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...9 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY.
RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
LAZ055-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080901T2100Z/
LOWER ST. MARTIN-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT
MONDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
LOWER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE MAKING PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR MORGAN CITY
PRIOR TO SUNRISE MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES BY NOON TIME MONDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY AREA
JUST AFTER NOON MONDAY...AND THE NEW IBERIA AREA BY EARLY EVENING
MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING MONDAY.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EYE WALL OF A
HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL ROOF
AND EXTERIOR DAMAGE. MORE SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES WITH GABLED ROOFS
MAY OCCUR. MANY INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED...OTHERS
WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. WOOD FRAMED APARTMENTS
WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES IS
LIKELY. ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE UNAVAILABLE FOR DAYS...AND
PERHAPS WEEKS...AFTER THE STORM PASSES. MANY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED
AND/OR UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
STEPHENSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...79 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...25 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
LAZ028-029-031>033-042>045-311615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080901T2100Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
755 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON DAVIS AND
ALLEN PARISHES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
LAFAYETTE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE MAKING PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
ACADIA.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR RESIDENTS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10. A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...AND FOR MOBILE HOMES SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
LAFAYETTE.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
UPPER ST. MARTIN.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE BREAUX BRIDGE...LAFAYETTE AND
CROWLEY AREAS BEFORE NOON ON MONDAY. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD
INLAND AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST... REACHING THE MARKSVILLE
AND ALEXANDRIA AREAS BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTH-
CENTRAL LOUISIANA...THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR...BEGINNING LATE
AFTERNOON MONDAY. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL
LOUISIANA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE EYE
WALL OF A HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL ROOF
AND EXTERIOR DAMAGE. MORE SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES WITH GABLED
ROOFS MAY OCCUR. MANY INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED...
OTHERS WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. WOOD FRAMED
APARTMENTS WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF
MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY. ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE UNAVAILABLE
FOR DAYS...AND PERHAPS WEEKS...AFTER THE STORM PASSES. MANY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED AND/OR UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ST. MARTINVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...74 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...21 PERCENT.
LAFAYETTE.
TROPICAL STORM...71 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...20 PERCENT.
OPELOUSAS.
TROPICAL STORM...70 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...17 PERCENT.
MARKSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...66 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
VILLE PLATTE.
TROPICAL STORM...64 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...13 PERCENT.
JENNINGS.
TROPICAL STORM...60 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...14 PERCENT.
OBERLIN.
TROPICAL STORM...59 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...10 PERCENT.
ALEXANDRIA.
TROPICAL STORM...57 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...7 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
25
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