[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 30 11:45:17 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 301644
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1237 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO BEYOND DRY TORTUGAS...

.AT 1100 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH
OF KEY WEST.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE NEAR WESTERN CUBA LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE MAJOR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. GUSTAV COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BEFORE
MAKING LANDFALL ON WESTERN CUBA...AND IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 954 MB...OR 28.17 INCHES.


FLZ078-311645-
/O.UPG.KKEY.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.1007.080830T1637Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1237 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER
KEYS.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE SHELTER
INFORMATION AND SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE.
UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL WILL BECOME AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER AT 5 PM.
ALL SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE IN THE LOWER KEYS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER
INFORMATION. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN
FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER
ATLANTIC AND GULF SIDE WATERS. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...AND TURN
SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL
BUILD TO 10 TO 14 FEET DURING TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR
INCREASING SQUALLS ON ALL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE
THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND DRY TORTUGAS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS LESS THAN A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS LESS THAN A 22 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER
IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ054-074-311645-
/O.UPG.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1237 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER
KEYS.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE SHELTER
INFORMATION AND SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE.
UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL WILL BECOME AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER AT 5 PM.
ALL SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE IN THE LOWER KEYS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER
INFORMATION. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN
FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER
ATLANTIC AND GULF SIDE WATERS. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...AND TURN
SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL
BUILD TO 10 TO 14 FEET DURING TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR
INCREASING SQUALLS ON ALL WATERS.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE
THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND DRY TORTUGAS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS LESS THAN A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS LESS THAN A 22 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER
IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ075-311645-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1237 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER
KEYS.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE SHELTER
INFORMATION AND SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE.
UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL WILL BECOME AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER AT 5 PM.
ALL SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE IN THE LOWER KEYS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER
INFORMATION. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN
FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER
ATLANTIC AND GULF SIDE WATERS. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT. SEAS
BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 14 FEET DURING TONIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. IN
ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR INCREASING SQUALLS ON ALL
WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE
THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND DRY TORTUGAS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS LESS THAN A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS LESS THAN A 22 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER
IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076-077-GMZ031>033-052-053-072-073-311645-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1237 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR LOCATION OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER
KEYS.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE SHELTER
INFORMATION AND SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE.
UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL WILL BECOME AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER AT 5 PM.
ALL SPECIAL NEEDS PEOPLE IN THE LOWER KEYS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER
INFORMATION. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN
FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER
ATLANTIC AND GULF SIDE WATERS. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT. SEAS
BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 14 FEET DURING TONIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. IN
ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR INCREASING SQUALLS ON ALL
WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND DRY TORTUGAS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS LESS THAN A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS LESS THAN A 22 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER
IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

APA





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