[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 27 10:04:32 CDT 2008


WTNT31 KWNH 271504
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 48 FOR REMNANTS OF FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

...REMNANTS OF FAY CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.  FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GEORGIA AND FLORIDA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...15Z...THE WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH FAY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST...OR
ABOUT 43 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONDON KENTUCKY.

THE SURFACE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THE
REMNANTS OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN
ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 MPH.  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 800 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
CLAYHATCHEE 5.9 E                    15.27
HIGHLAND HOME                        12.74
VALLEY 0.4 NNW                       11.87
WETUMPKA 9.9 NNE                     10.81
MEADOWBROOK 1.7 NE                   10.50
LAKE PURDY 3.6 ENE                   10.37
CLIO 0.2 SSW                         10.27
CALERA				      9.73
TROY				      9.57
BIRMINGHAM INTL			      7.28

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS             27.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/  22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/      22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
VIERA                                20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
MELBOURNE WFO                        19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH           19.01
SANFORD 2 ESE                        18.27
ST MARKS 4 ESE                       17.67
JACKSONVILLE/INTL APT                12.07
MONTICELLO 3.6 WSW                   11.90
VERO BEACH/MUNI APT                  11.34
WACISSA 1.1 SW                       10.80
DAYTONA BEACH/REGIONAL APT            8.99
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT              8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT                  7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD               7.12

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE                          27.50
NEWTON 11 SW                         13.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
ELMODEL                              11.80
VALDOSTA 9 N                         11.67
BLAKELY                              10.85
MORGAN 5 NW                          10.83
MILFORD                              10.73
TIGER 1.7 S                          10.00
IRON CITY 6 NE                        9.54
ALBANY 1 N                            8.68
FORT GAINES 13 ENE                    8.48
BLUFFTON 0.2 N                        8.35
FORT BENNING/COLUMBUS                 6.77
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF                   4.87
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO                2.56

...KENTUCKY...

SCOTTSVILLE 5.5 NE                    1.90
EUBANK 4.7 NE                         1.80
LONDON-CORBIN ARPT                    1.78
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FLD              1.78
BRONSTON 2.7 WSW                      1.75
ALBANY                                1.62
DIXON                                 1.14
TAYLORSVILLE                          1.00

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE/SHERWOOD                  4.49
MILLERVILLE                           4.38
ZACHARY                               4.20
SHENANDOAH 0.8 W                      4.02
INNISWOLD 4 E                         4.01
WALKER 1.1 N                          3.93
DENHAM SPRINGS                        3.91
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW                3.79
VIDALIA                               3.30
JACKSON                               3.26
RESERVE                               3.20
NEW ORLEANS/MSY                       1.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

ACKERMAN 3 SE                         7.87
NOXAPATER 1 N                         6.80
DAMASCUS 1 SE                         6.27
STATE UNIVERSITY                      5.50
STARKVILLE 2.5 ENE                    5.47
GHOLSON 8 W                           5.12
CRAWFORD 5 W                          5.07
TOPTON                                4.88
PHILADELPHIA 5 N                      4.87
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE                     4.59
TOOMSUBA 5 SE                         4.53
PASCAGOULA                            4.52
MERIDIAN/KEY FLD                      4.45

...NORTH CAROLINA...

BURNSVILLE 9.4 SE                    11.18
HARRISBURG 0.8 S                     10.84
CONCORD 4.9 SW                       10.30
CHARLOTTE			      5.90
ASHEVILLE			      5.32
HICKORY				      2.90
MONROE ARPT			      2.85
WINSTON-SALEM			      1.21			

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

LAKE WYLIE 2.3 SW                     9.00
LOWRYS 3.6 ENE                        7.66
SALEM 3.1 WNW                         7.56
FORT MILL 3.5 ENE                     6.86
CLEVELAND 8 WSW                       6.24
BEAUFORT                              6.11
MARIETTA 1.8 SW                       5.09
MEGGETT 1.8 W                         4.97
SALEM 0.1 SE                          4.65
WALTERBORO 2 SW                       4.33
HARDEEVILLE 13 S                      4.25
CHARLESTON/MUNI APT                   4.07
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                    3.96
WALHALLA 5 NW                         3.94
COLUMBIA/METRO ARPT		      3.10
GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG		      3.03

...TENNESSEE...

DUNLAP 3.1 NW                         8.84
RED BANK 3.4 NNE                      7.87
SIGNAL MTN 1.2 WSW                    7.75
GRAYSVILLE 0.1 NW                     7.43
FAYETTEVILLE 8.8 S                    6.08
CARTHAGE 0.1 W                        5.30
COLUMBIA 0.9 SE                       5.05
EAGLEVILLE 1 SE                       4.39
SMYRNA 4.5 SSW                        4.24
CHATTANOOGA/LOVELL FLD ASOS           3.75
KNOXVILLE			      1.74

...VIRGINIA...

WOOLWINE 0.4 SW                       3.27
CAVE SPRINGS 2.4 SSW                  3.00
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE                     2.46
ROCKY MOUNT 3.6 W                     2.12
ROANOKE/MUNI APT                      2.05

THE REMNANTS OF FAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING OVER PARTS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND WESTERN MARYLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...36.5 NORTH...83.6
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...10 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 27/1500Z 36.5N 83.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 28/0000Z 37.8N 82.6W...EXTRATROPICAL

$$




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