[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 25 10:04:00 CDT 2008


WTNT31 KWNH 251503
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 40 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1000 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...EASTERN LOUISIANA...AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

AT 1000 AM CDT...18Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST...OR ABOUT
50 MILES..85 KM...EAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI AND 165 MILES...265
KM...NORTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH...5 KM/HR. THE
FORECAST TRACK INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF FAY WILL BE CONTINUE
TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHEAST...AND INTO NORTHWEST
ALABAMA...SOUTHERN TENNESSEE ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.64 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE			      2.87
BOOTHVILLE			      1.92
NEW ORLEANS /MSY/                     1.46
SALT POINT			      1.31
SLIDELL				      1.15
NEW IBERIA			      1.07
LAFAYETTE                             0.76

...MISSISSIPPI...

STARKVILLE 5.3 S		      2.88
NATCHEZ/HARDY			      2.72
COLUMBUS AFB			      2.47
MERIDIAN/KEY FIELD                    2.45
PEARL 3.4 ESE                         2.45
TUPELO				      2.20
MERIDIAN NAS/MCCAIN                   1.96
JACKSON 			      1.94
VICKSBURG			      1.75
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.85
GREENWOOD			      1.10
HATTIESBURG			      1.01
PASCAGOULA			      0.79
BILOXI				      0.23
GULFPORT			      0.17

...ALABAMA...

CAMDEN 1.0 NNE			      6.55
EUFAULA 1.0 SSE			      6.26
WETUMPKA 5.0 SE			      6.14
TROY                                  5.65
OZARK                                 5.42
DOTHAN 5 WSW			      4.75
AUBURN				      4.05
MONTGOMERY                            3.58
BIRMINGHAM                            3.31
ANNISTON			      2.84
TUSCALOOSA                            2.31
EVERGREEN			      1.81
MOBILE				      1.41

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE                          27.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
MOULTRIE 6.2 SW			      9.45
MEIGS 8 E                             9.33
VALDOSTA			      8.31
LAKE PARK 2.8 W			      7.11
SYLVESTER 1.5 NW                      6.16
ALBANY				      4.64
COLUMBUS			      4.29
ALMA				      4.24
SAVANNAH			      3.16
BRUNSWICK			      2.88

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
BEAUFORT                              5.84
MEGGETT 1.8 W			      4.97
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW		      3.96
CHARLESTON                            2.72

...FLORIDA...
MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS             26.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/  22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/      22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
VIERA                                20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
DELTONA 2.9 SE                       19.25
SHUTTLE LANDING /XMR/                19.01
TALLAHASSEE /TLH/		     11.93
COCOA BEACH /COF/                     9.86
WEST PALM BEACH			      7.32

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PARTS OF ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...WESTERN AND NORTHERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...AND
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING....WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF
ALABAMA...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...32.3 NORTH...89.4
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

VOJTESAK

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 25/1500Z 32.3N 89.4W
12HR VT 26/0000Z 33.6N 89.2W
24HR VT 26/1200Z 35.0N 87.9W
36HR VT 27/0000Z 36.4N 86.7W
48HR VT 27/1200Z 37.6N 85.2W...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 28/1200Z 38.8N 83.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$




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