[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 24 12:46:46 CDT 2008


ABNT20 KNHC 241745
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY...LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS IT MOVES
WEST TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY
SPREAD SQUALLY WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH



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