[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 21 16:49:03 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMLB 212147
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
547 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW OVER LAND...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SEMINOLE COUNTY...NORTH AND
CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY...NORTH ORANGE...AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY.

A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD COUNTY.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...
INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
WATERS.


...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...JUST WEST OF FLAGLER
BEACH AND ORMOND BY THE SEA. THE CENTER OF FAY CROSSED THE COAST
AROUND 230 PM EDT.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH. THIS GENERAL SLOW
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS
FORECAST OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY.

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-222200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
547 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW INLAND BUT STILL HAVING HAZARDOUS EFFECTS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALTHOUGH FAY IS NOW INLAND...THIS IS NOT THE TIME TO DROP YOUR
GUARD.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING FOR NORTH BREVARD AND
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES. FAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY INLAND TO BEGIN
IMPROVED CONDITIONS AFTER FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE DROPPED LATER TONIGHT FOR SAINT
LUCIE COUNTY AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
THIS EVENING AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR NEAR THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST
OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35
AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY FROM ORLANDO AND TITUSVILLE
NORTHWARD. A FEW WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...ACROSS SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN OUTER RAINBANDS.


...INLAND FLOODING...
TROPICAL RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE BROAD
CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY...IMPACTING NORTH BREVARD
AND COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES WITH ADDITIONAL FLOODING RAIN. AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE CENTER OF FAY
MOVES FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKENS. PARTS OF INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY
MAY SEE POCKETS OF 8 INCHES BY MORNING. THIS IS ON TOP OF FLOODING RAINS
WHICH HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED SO FAR.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN OUTER RAINBANDS WILL
CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...AND
MARTIN COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND
FUNNEL CLOUDS...FROM FAST MOVING CELLS WILL BE A THREAT...
ESPECIALLY THROUGH SUNSET.


...TORNADOES...
UNTIL SUNSET...THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND FUNNEL CLOUDS ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT
LIVED.

PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT
FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES
OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-222200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
547 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW OVER LAND...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW INLAND AND SLOWLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE
MARINE WATERS. HOWEVER...FAY STILL HAS A FAR REACH TO THE EAST
WITH ITS ASSOCIATED RAINBANDS. THEREFORE...SQUALLY WEATHER WILL
PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY UNTIL THE REACHES OF FAY TOTALLY EXIT THE
AREA.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ALL WINDS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET WERE NOW OFFSHORE.
EVEN THOUGH FAY IS NOW INLAND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTH. GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN PASSING SQUALLS. AT BUOY 41009...SEAS WERE
STILL 7 TO 9 FEET WHICH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. FROM SEBASTIAN
INLET SOUTHWARD...HEIGHTS WERE 4 TO 6 FEET...AND UP TO 7 FEET
OFFSHORE. IMPORTANTLY...NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS... HIGHER WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS...WERE
ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-222200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080823T0000Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
547 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE FOR INLAND LOCATIONS AS FAY MOVES
SLOWLY WEST...


...NEW INFORMATION...
FOR THIS EVENING...THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT FOR SEMINOLE COUNTY
IS HIGH! FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR IN PARTS OF LAKE...ORANGE...AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES! PEOPLE SHOULD ACT NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY! FLOOD WATERS BECOME VERY DANGEROUS AFTER DARK!


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING INLAND COUNTIES...LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...AND
INTERIOR VOLUSIA.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINBANDS FROM FAY...CONTAINING INTENSE TORRENTIAL RAIN...WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS SEMINOLE...ORANGE...LAKE AND INTERIOR
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. AS FAY TRACKS FARTHER INLAND...SLOWLY TO THE
WEST...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS
RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER. RAINBANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS FOR EXTENDED
PERIODS OF TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...WITH AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES IN SPOTS OVERNIGHT.
IMPORTANTLY...THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF GENEROUS RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY
OCCURRED IN THESE AREAS. THE MAIN THREAT AREA FOR FLOODING WILL BE
NORTH OF A KISSIMMEE TO TITUSVILLE LINE. FLOOD WATERS ARE ALREADY RISING
IN SEVERAL NEIGHBORHOODS IN SANFORD AND OVIEDO IN SEMINOLE COUNTY.

LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS. BE SURE TO KEEP YOUR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO TURNED ON OVERNIGHT.

MORE SO...EVEN FAR FROM THE CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE
TROPICAL STORM...A VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL MAKE
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP HAVING
TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES. RESIDENTS THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR GUARD DOWN CONCERNING THE FLOOD
THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER...RUN OFF FROM THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN
FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS PROMPTED CONCERN FOR MINOR FLOODING AT
ASTOR. THIS MORNINGS STAGE HEIGHT WAS 2.3 FEET...BUT THE FORECAST
IS EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET ON FRIDAY...AND UP TO
3.0 FEET INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAIN
AMOUNTS ARE EXPERIENCED THE REST OF TODAY AND OVERNIGHT...THE
FORECAST MAY BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER. BE SURE TO KEEP INFORMED OF THE
LATEST RIVER FORECAST FOR THE SAINT JOHNS AT ASTOR.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS AT DELAND AND LAKE HARNEY...THESE POINTS ARE
FORECAST TO REACH ACTION STAGE. NEARBY RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND DELAND...TO
INCLUDE SANFORD...THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.


...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE BROAD
CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY AS IT TRACKS FARTHER INLAND. EVEN ACROSS
INTERIOR LOCATIONS...INCLUDING METRO ORLANDO...LEESBURG...AND
SANFORD...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...AND
EVEN HIGHER IN PASSING SQUALLS TO 60 MPH.


...TORNADOES...
UNTIL SUNSET...THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH SUNSET. IF A TORNADO
DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT
FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES
OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$



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