[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 211844
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY APPEARS TO FINALLY BE MAKING LANDFALL...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...
EAST ORANGE...AND NORTH LAKE COUNTIES.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...
INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
WATERS.


...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY NEAR FLAGLER
BEACH AND ORMOND BY THE SEA.

FAY HAS FINALLY BEGUN TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST!
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND
TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE GRADUALLY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST BY
LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED SINCE THE CENTER IS
FINALLY MOVING INLAND...WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING TAKING PLACE AFTER
FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-221845-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY FINALLY MAKING LANDFALL...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION
AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT
APPEARS THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN ORMOND BY THE
SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A
MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY
FOR THE AREA.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL STILL BE COMMON FOR THE REST OF TODAY...
MAINLY IN SQUALLS. PEAK GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR
INDIAN RIVER...NORTH BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY AS FAY MOVES INLAND. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE
BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN
BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH
WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY FROM ORLANDO AND TITUSVILLE
NORTHWARD. A FEW WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON...WITHIN SQUALLS ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH
BREVARD BEACHES...AND PERHAPS AS FAR SOUTH AS INDIAN RIVER COUNTY
NEAR SEBASTIAN AND VERO BEACH.

FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...ACROSS SAINT LUCIE COUNTY...SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN SQUALLS. OVERALL...WINDS SHOULD
BEGIN TO LESSEN BY EVENING AS FAY BEGINS TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND AND
WEAKEN.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL. BEACH EROSION REMAINS A CONCERN.


...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY TROPICAL RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE BROAD
CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY...IMPACTING MUCH OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD REMAIN AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2
TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. IF TORRENTIAL RAIN
PRODUCING CELLS DO PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY FOR PLACES THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
FLOODING RAIN.

AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
FAY MOVES INLAND.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN OUTER RAINBANDS...SHOULD ALSO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT
LUCIE...AND MARTIN COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND
GUSTS...AND FUNNEL CLOUDS...FROM FAST MOVING CELLS WILL BE A
THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST SUNSET.


...TORNADOES...
THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FUNNEL
CLOUDS ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. IF A TORNADO
DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT
FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES
OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-221845-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION
AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT
APPEARS THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN ORMOND BY THE
SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A
MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY
FOR THE MARINE AREA.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
SEBASTIAN INLET NORTH AS FAY MOVES INLAND AND EXITS THE MARINE
AREA IN PROXIMITY OF FLAGLER BEACH. GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN PASSING SQUALLS SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET. AT BUOY
41009...SEAS WERE STILL 8 TO 10 FEET...AND UP TO 12 TO 14 FEET
BEYOND THERE TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD...HEIGHTS WERE 4 TO 6 FEET.
IMPORTANTLY...NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...
HIGHER WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS...WERE ALSO OCCURRING
ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.


$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-221845-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080823T0000Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY FINALLY MAKING LANDFALL...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION
AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT APPEARS
THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST IN VICINITY OF ORMOND BY THE
SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A
MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA
BEGINNING FRIDAY.

RAINBANDS FROM FAY WITH INTENSE TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD ACROSS SEMINOLE...ORANGE...LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. AS FAY TRACKS INLAND SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS
ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER.
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...MAINLY IN SQUALLS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING INLAND COUNTIES...LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...AND
INTERIOR VOLUSIA.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE BROAD CIRCULATION
CENTER OF FAY AS IT TRACKS INLAND. EVEN ACROSS INTERIOR
LOCATIONS...INCLUDING METRO ORLANDO...LEESBURG...AND
SANFORD...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...AND
EVEN HIGHER IN PASSING SQUALLS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY TROPICAL RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SHOULD
REMAIN AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3
INCHES PER HOUR ARE STILL POSSIBLE. IF TORRENTIAL RAIN PRODUCING CELLS
DO PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY.

AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.

EVEN FAR FROM THE CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL
STORM...A VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL MAKE CONDITIONS
FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP HAVING TORRENTIAL
TROPICAL RAIN RATES. RESIDENTS THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
SHOULD NOT LET THEIR GUARD DOWN CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


...TORNADOES...
THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS ALL
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT
SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT
FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES
OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$






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