[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 19 08:45:32 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMLB 191345
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY INLAND IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...RAIN
SPREADING INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS
LIFTING NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE..

...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE
TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
MARTIN COUNTY UNTIL 1030 AM THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL
COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM...RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 26.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND TODAY.


FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-201345-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS
MARTIN...OKECHOBEE AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES THIS MORNING. A LARGE
AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD NORTH IN
ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MID TO
LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN 30
AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3
INCH PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO
SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND
MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS. LISTEN FOR UPDATED WEATHER BULLETINS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IMMEDIATELY IF TORNADO
OR FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A VERY LOW THREAT FOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL EXIST NEAR THE COAST
AND ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS...WITH STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE
WATERS EXPECTED TO REACH LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. IN
ADDITION...MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION AND HEAVY SURF ARE
LIKELY.

IMPACTS WILL BE GREATEST DURING TIMES OF PEAK ONSHORE WINDS
COINCIDENT WITH TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ALONG THE
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH WILL BE BETWEEN
1030 AND 1130 AM.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE... BECOMING 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50
KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND POSSIBLY
AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS MORNING. SINCE
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE... SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH SHORE TOWARD THE
NORTH SHORE...RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM
CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO
LAKEPORT...WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
BELLE GLADE...SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES
DIRECTLY OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVELS IN THE
LAKE WILL FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND
SPEED OF THE WIND.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN
SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 MPH SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH...
AND LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS OF 50
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN HEAVY SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY AS
SQUALLS SPREAD ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC...AND ALSO LATER TODAY
FARTHER INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD
OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD AT MOST LOCATIONS. WIND
CONDITIONS NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO MAY NOT BE QUITE AS
STRONG...AS FAY IS NOW FORECAST TO PASS JUST EAST OF THIS REGION.
THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE
VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM.

RECENT SQUALLS PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH AT STUART AND 36
MPH AT FORT PIERCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN MARTIN LAKE AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COUNTIES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH AS RAIN BANDS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL DOWNPOURS
SPREAD NORTH... WITH MULTIPLE BANDS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE
COMMON WITH THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS. HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4
INCHES IN AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND MAY ALLOW WATER TO
APPROACH HOMES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF
FAY...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF ORLANDO.

AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE SAINT
JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND LAKE GEORGE.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC STORMS
TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND SPREADS
NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC CELLS WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE COAST.

SEVERAL TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS
PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES ALREADY THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NO
TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-201345-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL SPREAD
NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS
BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING
BETWEEN 30 AND 45 KNOTS WILL LIFT NORTH FROM THE WATERS EAST OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. BRIEF WATERSPOUT
SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF
STUART EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL
WATERSPOUTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.


...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS
REACHING 40 TO 45 KNOTS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...AND LOCATIONS
FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD
OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS
FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE
TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM.


...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON. ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL
BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS TODAY. AS LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR STRENGTHENS AND SPREADS NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. SEVERAL
WATERSPOUT SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS THE PALM
BEACH COASTAL WATERS ALREADY THIS MORNING.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-200800-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS
MARTIN...OKECHOBEE AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES THIS MORNING. A LARGE
AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD NORTH IN
ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MID TO
LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN 30
AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3
INCH PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO
SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND
MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS. LISTEN FOR UPDATED WEATHER BULLETINS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IMMEDIATELY IF TORNADO
OR FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE... BECOMING 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50
KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND POSSIBLY
AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS MORNING. SINCE
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE... SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH SHORE TOWARD THE
NORTH SHORE...RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM
CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO
LAKEPORT...WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
BELLE GLADE...SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES
DIRECTLY OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVELS IN THE
LAKE WILL FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND
SPEED OF THE WIND.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN
SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 MPH SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH...
AND LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS OF 50
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN HEAVY SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY AS
SQUALLS SPREAD ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC...AND ALSO LATER TODAY
FARTHER INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD
OCCUR OVER ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD AT MOST LOCATIONS. WIND
CONDITIONS NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO MAY NOT BE QUITE AS
STRONG...AS FAY IS NOW FORECAST TO PASS JUST EAST OF THIS REGION.
THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE
VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM.

RECENT SQUALLS PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH AT STUART AND 36
MPH AT FORT PIERCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THREE TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN MARTIN LAKE AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COUNTIES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH AS RAIN BANDS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL DOWNPOURS
SPREAD NORTH... WITH MULTIPLE BANDS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE
COMMON WITH THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS. HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4
INCHES IN AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND MAY ALLOW WATER TO
APPROACH HOMES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF
FAY...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF ORLANDO.

AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE SAINT
JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND LAKE GEORGE.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR TORNADIC STORMS
TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND SPREADS
NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC CELLS WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE COAST.

SEVERAL TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS
PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES ALREADY THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NO
TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.



$$






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