[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 19 02:57:38 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 190757 PAA
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA CONTINUE IN EFFECT...
AT 200 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH
OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. A MOTION JUST EAST OF
DUE NORTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL WITH A NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER
THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INLAND OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FAY
COULD STILL APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE FAY MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
FLZ069-075-191030-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PREPAREDNESS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WINDS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOOD SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL COLLIER, MAINLAND
MONROE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE EFFECTS OF
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE SHOULD BE COMPLETE. TROPICAL STORM FAY
WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN COLLIER COUNTY SOMETIME BEFORE 6 AM EDT AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH POSSIBLE HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL
BE SPREADING ACROSS THE METRO COLLIER COUNTY AREA FROM THE SOUTH.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COLLIER COUNTY
COAST BEFORE 6 AM EDT. ONSHORE FLOW IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO
AREA WILL RESULT IN STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET PARTICULARLY
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AROUND 4 AM. FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS,
THE WINDS ARE STILL OFFSHORE AT EVERGLADES CITY, MARCO ISLAND AND
NAPLES, BUT AS THE CENTER COMES ONSHORE WIND DIRECTIONS WILL
CHANGE. A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER COUNTY COASTLINE
FROM CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY WEST TO COLLIER SEMINOLE
STATE PARK, GOODLAND AND MARCO ISLAND ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE AROUND 3 AM TO 5 AM. HOWEVER, THIS THREAT WILL STILL
BE PRESENT ALTHOUGH TO A LESSER DEGREE ACROSS THESE AREA LATER
DURING THE MORNING HOURS WHILE THE ONSHORE FLOW REMAINS STRONG AND
BEFORE THE WIND BEGINS TO SUBSIDE BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON. WITH THESE CONDITIONS MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IS LIKELY PARTICULARLY AT THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE AND WHEN THE ONSHORE FLOW IS STRONGEST.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION HAS BEEN URGED BY COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT FOR MANY RESIDENTS OF LOW LYING COMMUNITIES IN COLLIER
COUNTY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COLLIER COUNTY
COAST BEFORE 6 AM EDT. WIND SPEEDS ACROSS METRO COLLIER COUNTY AT
3 AM RANGED FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH IN SOME
PLACES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF UP TO
50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS
POSSIBLE REACHING THE METRO COLLIER COASTLINE INCLUDING NAPLES AND
MARCO ISLAND, DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO IMPROVE LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS REMAINING RATHER WINDY STILL THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
WINDS IN THIS SPEED RANGE ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES AND TRAILERS, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AWNINGS,
POOL ENCLOSURES AND WITH SOME SHINGLES BLOWN FROM ROOFS. LARGE
BRANCHES BREAK OFF TREES, BUT SHALLOW ROOTED OR DISEASED TREES
COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. LOOSE OBJECTS ARE EASILY BLOWN ABOUT AND
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. THESE WINDS AREA ALSO DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES LIKE
TRUCKS AND BUSES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ALSO LIKELY,
ESPECIALLY WHERE POWER LINES ARE EXPOSED ABOVE GROUND.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL TOTALS SO FAR SINCE MONDAY ACROSS COASTAL COLLIER ARE IN
THE 2 TO 4 INCHES RANGE WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES AND
HIGHER ACROSS MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AND SOME SPOTS ACROSS EASTERN
COLLIER COUNTY. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE EVENT IS OVER WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 12
INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IF TRAINING OF SPIRAL BANDS OCCURS. THIS
RAINFALL CAN EASILY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING POORLY DRAINED
UNDERPASSES AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, AS WELL AS PONDING OF RAINFALL
RUNOFF IN PARKING LOTS. BE SURE THAT DEBRIS DOES NOT CLOG DRAINAGE
ROUTES IN ORDER TO EASE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS. FLASH FLOODING
MAY OCCUR IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING OF SQUALLS SETS UP ACROSS THE
SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MOTORISTS SHOULD NEVER DRIVE ACROSS
WATER OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH, TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...TORNADOES...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY ABOUT GETTING CLOSE TO LAND FALL, THE RISK
OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. HOWEVER,
THERE IS STILL A REMOTE POSSIBILITY THAN AN ISOLATED TORNADO
OCCURS. THEREFORE, A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-191030-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
MARINE IMPACTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
TORNADO WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE
TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 60 NM, COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE
TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ALL MARINE CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN SAFE PORT THROUGH TODAY.
...TORNADOES...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY ABOUT GETTING CLOSE TO LAND FALL, THE RISK
OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED. THEREFORE,
TORNADO WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA AS TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES ACROSS THE COLLIER COUNTY COASTAL
WATERS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS ABOVE 50 KNOTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT FLAMINGO STATION
ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE SOUTHWEST COAST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
TO HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS ON TUESDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST, SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT UNLIKELY MAINLY TUESDAY MORNING IF
THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES. SEAS WILL BUILD IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET
OFFSHORE AND FROM 7 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE, BECOMING EXTREMELY ROUGH
AND CONFUSED. SURF ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH AND DANGEROUS THIS MORNING, AND ESPECIALLY ON
AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AS WINDS REMAIN ONSHORE. MARINERS SHOULD
STAY IN SAFE PORT. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS FAY PASSES BY THE
AREA AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY.
$$
FLZ168-172>174-191030-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOODING HAS BEEN UPDATED.
TORNADO SECTION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL BROWARD, COASTAL MIAMI
DADE, COASTAL PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST WHERE A HURRICANE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT. ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. THREE SHELTERS FOR PERSONS WISHING TO
EVACUATE FROM MOBILE HOMES OR HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE NOW
OPEN FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY RESIDENTS.
OCCASIONAL BREAKS BETWEEN SQUALLS MAY BE USED FOR EMERGENCY
REPAIRS IF NECESSARY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
ATLANTIC COAST GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY. WATER
LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS MAY OCCUR ESPECIALLY AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE DUE TO ONSHORE WIND FLOW TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOULD FAY BECOME A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BEFORE LAND FALL, WATER
LEVELS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION ESPECIALLY AT THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 11 AM
TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA FROM PALM BEACH TO COASTAL MIAMI DADE ON
THE ATLANTIC SIDE, SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
35 TO 40 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH
SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS ALONG THE MIAMI DADE COAST. PEAK WIND GUSTS
ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE SAME TIME PERIOD HAVE BEEN RANGING IN
THE 55 TO 60 MPH RANGE MAINLY ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS IN MIAMI
DADE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST COAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 30
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE GIVEN THE
LATEST FORECAST TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY IMPROVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, SHOULD FAY BE
STRONGER THAN FORECAST, STRONGER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYTIME
DURING ITS PASSAGE. THEREFORE, THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN
EFFECT.
FOR FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE ADJACENT TO FLORIDA BAY, WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH OR HIGHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING
HOURS ON TUESDAY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
THROUGH THIS EVENING, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY HAVE
BEEN IN THE 2 TO 4 INCHES RANGE WITH POCKETS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
HIGHEST AMOUNTS OBSERVED AROUND SOUTHEAST PALM BEACH COUNTY,
SECTIONS OF NORTHEAST AND METRO BROWARD, AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF
MIAMI DADE COUNTY OVER THE EVERGLADES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AS
HIGH AS 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WHERE TRAINING OF SPIRAL
BANDS OCCURS. THIS RAINFALL CAN EASILY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING
POORLY DRAINED UNDERPASSES AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, AS WELL AS
PONDING OF RAINFALL RUNOFF IN PARKING LOTS. BE SURE THAT DEBRIS
DOES NOT CLOG DRAINAGE ROUTES IN ORDER TO EASE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAINS. FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING OF SQUALLS
SETS UP ACROSS THE SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MOTORISTS SHOULD
NEVER DRIVE ACROSS WATER OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH, TURN AROUND DONT
DROWN. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WERE REPORTED WITH SOME DAMAGE IN THE WELLINGTON AREA OF
PALM BEACH COUNTY AROUND 130 TO 2 AM EDT. MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA
REMAINS IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF
SQUALLS. AS THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL AND CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH,
THE MAIN THREAT OF TORNADO PRODUCING RAIN BANDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHWARD DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. A
TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-191030-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T1200Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOODING HAS BEEN UPDATED.
TORNADO SECTION UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: GLADES, HENDRY, INLAND
BROWARD, INLAND COLLIER, INLAND MIAMI DADE, INLAND PALM
BEACH, METRO BROWARD, METRO MIAMI DADE, METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND
SOUTH FLORIDA EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST WHERE A
HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. SPIRAL BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY
ARE MOVING THROUGH MUCH OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA NOW PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
ATLANTIC COAST GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY. WATER
LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS MAY OCCUR ESPECIALLY AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE DUE TO ONSHORE WIND FLOW TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOULD FAY BECOME A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BEFORE LAND FALL, WATER
LEVELS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION ESPECIALLY AT THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 11 AM
TUESDAY.
THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE LEVEL IS NEAR 11.3 FEET, WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. SINCE FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE
LAKE DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY, SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTHEAST SHORE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST SHORE, RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM
CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO LAKEPORT,
WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE BELLE GLADE,
SOUTH BAY, AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES DIRECTLY OVER OR
EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE, THE WATER LEVELS IN THE LAKE WILL
FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND SPEED OF THE
WIND.
...WINDS...
WIND GUSTS TO ABOUT 35 MPH ARE NOW MOVING NORTH THROUGH INLAND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REMINDER OF THE AREA GRADUALLY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ACROSS
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AWAY FROM THE COASTS WIND SPEEDS ARE
GENERALLY 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN SQUALLS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN
SQUALLS THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BEGINNING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, IF FAY
IS STRONGER THAN FORECAST, WINDS WOULD BE HIGHER WITH GUSTS TO
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR EVEN HURRICANE FORCE STILL POSSIBLE
ALTHOUGH NOT LIKELY.
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR INLAND COLLIER, GLADES AND
HENDRY COUNTIES, WINDS OF 45 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO IMPROVE LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS INLAND AND METRO MIAMI DADE, INLAND AND METRO
BROWARD, AND INLAND AND METRO PALM BEACH COUNTIES, WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH IN SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO
IMPROVE TUESDAY BY MID AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY
FARTHER INLAND AND CLOSER TO WHERE THE CENTER MOVES WEST OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTING TO HURRICANE FORCE WOULD BE
CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO CARPORTS, AWNINGS, AND POOL
ENCLOSURES AND SOME DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. SMALL
BRANCHES BREAK OFF TREES AND LOOSE OBJECTS ARE BLOWN ABOUT. WINDS
IN THIS RANGE BEGIN TO BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS,
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE
LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
LOCAL RAINFALL REPORTS AS HIGH AS 6 INCHES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RECEIVED IN PARTS OF CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY WITH 3 TO 5 INCH
REPORTS COMMON ELSEWHERE. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AS
HIGH AS 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WHERE TRAINING OF SPIRAL
BANDS OCCURS. THIS RAINFALL CAN EASILY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING
POORLY DRAINED UNDERPASSES AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, AS WELL AS
PONDING OF RAINFALL RUNOFF IN PARKING LOTS. BE SURE THAT DEBRIS
DOES NOT CLOG DRAINAGE ROUTES IN ORDER TO EASE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAINS. FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING OF SQUALLS
SETS UP ACROSS THE SAME AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MOTORISTS SHOULD
NEVER DRIVE ACROSS WATER OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH, TURN AROUND DONT
DROWN. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WERE REPORTED IN THE WELLINGTON AREA OF METRO PALM BEACH
COUNTY BETWEEN 130 AND 2 AM WITH SOME DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. MAINLAND
SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST
OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION
FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS
OF SQUALLS. AS THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL AND CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTH, THE MAIN THREAT OF TORNADO PRODUCING RAIN BANDS WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON
TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-191030-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
357 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
MARINE IMPACTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
TORNADO IMPACT UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BISCAYNE BAY, LAKE OKEECHOBEE,
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED ALL PRECAUTIONS FOR FAY.
MARINE CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT THROUGH TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT
OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS QUADRANT IS A
FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IN
THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS. AS THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL AND
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH, THE MAIN THREAT OF TORNADO PRODUCING RAIN
BANDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING
HOURS ON TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 KNOTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT FOWEY ROCKS
LIGHT ON MONDAY, BUT SINCE 2 AM MOST WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN BETWEEN
40 AND 50 KNOTS. WIND GUSTS ABOVE 40 KNOTS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE BROWARD COUNTY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS THROUGH THIS MORNING AND INTO
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. IF FAY INTENSIFIES BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL,
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
IN SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE ANY TIME TODAY BEFORE CONDITIONS BEGIN TO
IMPROVE. SEAS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 7 TO 9 FEET AND POSSIBLY 10 TO 12
FEET OFFSHORE TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY ROUGH SURF AND
POSSIBLY MINOR BEACH EROSION. THE RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
PARTICULARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE GUSTING
TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE, BECOMING 30
TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, AND POSSIBLY AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE IN THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS.
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. SINCE FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE,
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE
SOUTH SHORE TOWARD THE NORTH SHORE, RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN
NORMAL LAKE LEVELS FROM CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF
OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO LAKEPORT, WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE BELLE GLADE, SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS.
IF FAY PASSES DIRECTLY OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE, THE WATER
LEVELS IN THE LAKE WILL FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE
DIRECTION AND SPEED OF THE WIND.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY.
$$
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