[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 18 12:37:33 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMLB 181737 PAA
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...

...AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA AND
OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES...

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR OKEECHOBEE...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

FLZ047-054-059-064-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH A LITTLE EARLIER ARRIVAL. RESIDENTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO FURTHER TRACK ADJUSTMENTS
AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT IS FOR ALL COUNTIES IN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS INCLUDES VOLUSIA...BREVARD...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE DEFINED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PREPARE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND REVIEW YOUR
EVACUATION PLAN. LISTEN FREQUENTLY TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING TROPICAL WEATHER THREAT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD FINALIZE PLANNING FOR HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
AND BE READY TO PUT THEIR PLANS INTO MOTION LATER TODAY SINCE A
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTH LATER TODAY.

REMEMBER...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. ADJUSTMENTS
WILL LIKELY BE MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS THE STORM APPROACHES
AND IMPACTS CAN OCCUR FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

FINALIZE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND REPLENISH STORM PROVISIONS SUCH
AS...BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...DRINKING
WATER...CANNED GOODS OR DRIED FOOD...FIRST AID SUPPLIES...BABY
SUPPLIES...AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINES. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLES AND
HAVE SOME EXTRA FUEL ON HAND FOR GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS IF
NEEDED. IT IS ALSO BEST TO HAVE SOME EXTRA CASH AS CREDIT CARDS
MAY NOT BE AN OPTION IF ELECTRIC POWER GOES OUT. KEEP YOUR CELL
PHONE WELL CHARGED BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES.

...WINDS...
GIVEN THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALONG WITH INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES IN CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY...THERE IS A LIMITED
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM HIGH WINDS FOR EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AS FAY MOVES NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...BECOMING STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS OVER MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WINDS TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO CARPORTS...
AWNINGS...AND POOL ENCLOSURES. SOME DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. SMALL BRANCHES MAY BREAK OFF TREES...AND
LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT. WINDS MAY BECOME DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...FORCING CLOSURES.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING OKEECHOBEE...SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE
HIGHEST THREAT MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.


$$

AMZ552-555-572-575-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...WINDS...
AS THE CIRCULATION OF FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TUESDAY...REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AT
LEAST IN GUSTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN THAT FAY WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE INLAND
DIRECTION...LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...IF FAY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE OR SHIFTS MORE
EASTWARD...THEN THERE MAY BE A VERY LOW THREAT DURING THE PERIODS
OF HIGH TIDE AND ONSHORE WINDS. SUBTLE CHANGES TO THE CURRENT
FORECAST WOULD PROMPT HEIGHTS OF 2 FEET OR LESS. EITHER WAY...SURF
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH WITH SOME BEACH EROSION TAKING PLACE.
RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE HIGHEST THREAT
MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.


$$

FLZ053-058-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.080819T1400Z-080820T0200Z/
OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO
10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH A LITTLE EARLIER ARRIVAL. RESIDENTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO FURTHER TRACK ADJUSTMENTS
AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.


...AREAS AFFECTED...THIS TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT IS FOR
ALL COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS INCLUDES
VOLUSIA...BREVARD...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE DEFINED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PREPARE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND REVIEW YOUR
EVACUATION PLAN. LISTEN FREQUENTLY TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING TROPICAL WEATHER THREAT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD FINALIZE PLANNING FOR HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
AND BE READY TO PUT THEIR PLANS INTO MOTION LATER TODAY SINCE A
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTH LATER TODAY.


REMEMBER...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. ADJUSTMENTS
WILL LIKELY BE MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS THE STORM APPROACHES
AND IMPACTS CAN OCCUR FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

FINALIZE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND REPLENISH STORM PROVISIONS SUCH
AS...BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...DRINKING
WATER...CANNED GOODS OR DRIED FOOD...FIRST AID SUPPLIES...BABY
SUPPLIES...AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINES. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLES AND
HAVE SOME EXTRA FUEL ON HAND FOR GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS IF
NEEDED. IT IS ALSO BEST TO HAVE SOME EXTRA CASH AS CREDIT CARDS
MAY NOT BE AN OPTION IF ELECTRIC POWER GOES OUT. KEEP YOUR CELL
PHONE WELL CHARGED BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES.

...WINDS...
GIVEN THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALONG WITH INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES IN CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY...THERE IS A LIMITED
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM HIGH WINDS FOR EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AS FAY MOVES NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...BECOMING STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS OVER MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WINDS TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO CARPORTS...
AWNINGS...AND POOL ENCLOSURES. SOME DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. SMALL BRANCHES MAY BREAK OFF TREES...AND
LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT. WINDS MAY BECOME DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...FORCING CLOSURES.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING OKEECHOBEE...SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE
HIGHEST THREAT MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ141-147-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH A LITTLE EARLIER ARRIVAL. RESIDENTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO FURTHER TRACK ADJUSTMENTS
AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT IS FOR ALL COUNTIES IN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS INCLUDES VOLUSIA...BREVARD...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE DEFINED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PREPARE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND REVIEW YOUR
EVACUATION PLAN. LISTEN FREQUENTLY TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING TROPICAL WEATHER THREAT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD FINALIZE PLANNING FOR HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
AND BE READY TO PUT THEIR PLANS INTO MOTION LATER TODAY SINCE A
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTH LATER TODAY.

REMEMBER...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. ADJUSTMENTS
WILL LIKELY BE MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS THE STORM APPROACHES
AND IMPACTS CAN OCCUR FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

FINALIZE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND REPLENISH STORM PROVISIONS SUCH
AS...BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...DRINKING
WATER...CANNED GOODS OR DRIED FOOD...FIRST AID SUPPLIES...BABY
SUPPLIES...AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINES. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLES AND
HAVE SOME EXTRA FUEL ON HAND FOR GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS IF
NEEDED. IT IS ALSO BEST TO HAVE SOME EXTRA CASH AS CREDIT CARDS
MAY NOT BE AN OPTION IF ELECTRIC POWER GOES OUT. KEEP YOUR CELL
PHONE WELL CHARGED BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES.


...WINDS...
GIVEN THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALONG WITH INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES IN CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY...THERE IS A LIMITED
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM HIGH WINDS FOR EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AS FAY MOVES NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...BECOMING STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS OVER MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WINDS TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO CARPORTS...
AWNINGS...AND POOL ENCLOSURES. SOME DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. SMALL BRANCHES MAY BREAK OFF TREES...AND
LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT. WINDS MAY BECOME DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...FORCING CLOSURES.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING OKEECHOBEE...SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE
HIGHEST THREAT MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

AMZ550-570-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH A LITTLE EARLIER ARRIVAL. RESIDENTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO FURTHER TRACK ADJUSTMENTS
AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...WINDS...
AS THE CIRCULATION OF FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TUESDAY...REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AT
LEAST IN GUSTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN THAT FAY WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE INLAND
DIRECTION...LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...IF FAY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE OR SHIFTS MORE
EASTWARD...THEN THERE MAY BE A VERY LOW THREAT DURING THE PERIODS
OF HIGH TIDE AND ONSHORE WINDS. SUBTLE CHANGES TO THE CURRENT
FORECAST WOULD PROMPT HEIGHTS OF 2 FEET OR LESS. EITHER WAY...SURF
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH WITH SOME BEACH EROSION TAKING PLACE.
RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE HIGHEST THREAT
MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-144-191745-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.A.0002.080819T1400Z-080820T0200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
137 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH A LITTLE EARLIER ARRIVAL. RESIDENTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO FURTHER TRACK ADJUSTMENTS
AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT IS FOR ALL COUNTIES IN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS INCLUDES VOLUSIA...BREVARD...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE DEFINED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PREPARE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND REVIEW YOUR
EVACUATION PLAN. LISTEN FREQUENTLY TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING TROPICAL WEATHER THREAT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD FINALIZE PLANNING FOR HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
AND BE READY TO PUT THEIR PLANS INTO MOTION LATER TODAY SINCE A
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTH LATER TODAY.

REMEMBER...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. ADJUSTMENTS
WILL LIKELY BE MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS THE STORM APPROACHES
AND IMPACTS CAN OCCUR FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

FINALIZE PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND REPLENISH STORM PROVISIONS SUCH
AS...BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...DRINKING
WATER...CANNED GOODS OR DRIED FOOD...FIRST AID SUPPLIES...BABY
SUPPLIES...AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINES. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLES AND
HAVE SOME EXTRA FUEL ON HAND FOR GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS IF
NEEDED. IT IS ALSO BEST TO HAVE SOME EXTRA CASH AS CREDIT CARDS
MAY NOT BE AN OPTION IF ELECTRIC POWER GOES OUT. KEEP YOUR CELL
PHONE WELL CHARGED BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES.

...WINDS...
GIVEN THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALONG WITH INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES IN CYCLONE TRACK AND INTENSITY...THERE IS A LIMITED
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM HIGH WINDS FOR EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AS FAY MOVES NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...BECOMING STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS OVER MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WINDS TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO CARPORTS...
AWNINGS...AND POOL ENCLOSURES. SOME DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. SMALL BRANCHES MAY BREAK OFF TREES...AND
LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT. WINDS MAY BECOME DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...FORCING CLOSURES.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING OKEECHOBEE...SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

...TORNADOES...
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA
FOR TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAINBANDS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AS OUTER RAINBANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE
HIGHEST THREAT MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 PM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.



$$




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