[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 18 11:02:16 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 181602
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1159 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 1100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED OVER
THE FLORIDA STRAITS NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF FAY IS OVER THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB OR 29.62 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-191545-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1137 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 AM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED FOR CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCLUDE DRAW BRIDGE
INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT CLOSED AT 10 AM. THE FOLLOWING
KEYS SHELTERS ARE OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE... SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS...THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. ALL DRAW BRIDGES ARE LOCKED
DOWN...AND THEY WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST IS CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY.
THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IN GENERAL...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
HOWEVER...IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN PRESENTLY
FORECAST...NORTH WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM COULD CAUSE A
MINOR GULF SIDE SURGE INSTEAD. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES
OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY
OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
IN ADDITION...NUMEROUS RAIN BANDS OVER THE STRAITS WILL IMPACT ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
WITHIN THESE RAIN BANDS.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS
TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES
ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 93 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 1 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND AND EARLY TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE KEYS
COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS MORNING...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT ALL KEYS COASTAL WATERS DURING THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. FURTHERMORE...BUILDING SEAS WILL MAKE
FOR VERY DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF MAY BUILD
TO 7 TO 11 FEET BY TONIGHT...WHILE SEAS INSIDE THE REEF BUILD TO 2
TO 4 FEET...AND SEAS ON THE GULF SIDE BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-191545-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1159 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 AM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS.
THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED FOR CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCLUDE DRAW BRIDGE
INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT CLOSED AT 10 AM. THE FOLLOWING
KEYS SHELTERS ARE OPEN... KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE... SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS...THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. ALL DRAW BRIDGES ARE LOCKED
DOWN...AND THEY WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST IS CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TUESDAY.
THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IN GENERAL...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
HOWEVER...IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN PRESENTLY
FORECAST...NORTH WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM COULD CAUSE A
MINOR GULF SIDE SURGE INSTEAD. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES
OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY
OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
IN ADDITION...NUMEROUS RAIN BANDS OVER THE STRAITS WILL IMPACT ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
WITHIN THESE RAIN BANDS.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS
TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES
ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 93 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 1 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND AND EARLY TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE KEYS
COASTAL WATERS...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
IMPACT ALL KEYS COASTAL DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.
FURTHERMORE...BUILDING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR VERY DANGEROUS MARINE
CONDITIONS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF MAY BUILD TO 7 TO 11 FEET BY
TONIGHT...WHILE SEAS INSIDE THE REEF BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET...AND
SEAS ON THE GULF SIDE BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FEET.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 3 PM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

APA







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