[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 13:44:01 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 171843 PAA
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...PREPARATIONS FOR FAY SHOULD BE UNDERWAY ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA...
.AT 2 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 340
MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI OR 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND MONDAY AS THE STORM EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
MONDAY. FAY WILL BE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PENINSULA
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, AND FAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND.
FLZ069-075-174-180000-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL COLLIER...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...MAINLAND MONROE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN DOWN
TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. IF OR WHEN HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED, PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF FAY. HOWEVER, A SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IS
POSSIBLE WITH FAY ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
TUESDAY.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, FAY WOULD MOVE NORTH ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE WITH THE
CENTER REMAINING JUST OFFSHORE. GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES, A STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 7
FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO AREAS OF
EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE AROUND 4 AM AND AGAIN AT 4 PM TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER
COUNTY COASTLINE NEAR CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY, PARTICULARLY
AT THE SECOND HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 PM TUESDAY. MINOR FLOODING OF
COASTAL ROADS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
HOWEVER, SHOULD THE STORM BE STRONGER OR MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, A STORM TIDE OF 7 TO 10 FEET AT ANY
GIVEN COASTAL LOCATION IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE
THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL. A STORM TIDE OF 10 FEET WOULD MEAN THAT
MANY ROADWAYS COULD GO UNDERWATER INCLUDING PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI
TRAIL, STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 WHICH LINK MARCO ISLAND TO THE
MAINLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 WHICH LINKS CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES
CITY TO THE TAMIAMI TRAIL. COLLIER SEMINOLE STATE PARK WOULD ALSO
HAVE SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING.
FOR COASTAL RESIDENTS OF NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND, A STORM TIDE
OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE, MAINLY AT THE
TIME OF THE SECOND HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON, ROUGHLY AROUND
MID AFTERNOON.
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL COMMUNITIES ESPECIALLY MARCO ISLAND, GOODLAND,
CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF ORDERED TO DO BY COLLIER
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF
COAST WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND REACH SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE MONDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED
WINDS FROM 39 TO 73 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY FOR THE METRO COLLIER COASTLINE INCLUDING
NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND, FROM JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TO MID
AFTERNOON TUESDAY, PEAKING DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER A TRACK
CLOSER OR OVER THE COLLIER OR MAINLAND MONROE COASTLINE COULD
RESULT IN AT LEAST CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH. THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
ALL RESIDENTS OF COLLIER COASTAL COMMUNITIES INCLUDING METRO
NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY FROM FAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NOW A 60 TO 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39 TO
73 MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, OR
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO
4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING
TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-180000-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
LOCATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
STORM TIDE EFFECTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
TIMING HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20
NM...GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START TAKING ACTION NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF A STORM TIDE
AND HIGH WINDS. SECURING MARINE CRAFT IN MARINAS OR ALONGSIDE
DOCKS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA LINE FOR THE RISE AND FALL OF THE STORM
TIDE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NOW A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS
OF 39 TO 73 MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS, OR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...WATERSPOUTS...
THE MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT
FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS
OF SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
GUSTING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY MONDAY EVENING, WITH CATEGORY
ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET
OFFSHORE AND FROM 5 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE. SURF ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH AND DANGEROUS
BEGINNING MONDAY AS WINDS INCREASE AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY.
MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE PORT AND STAY THERE THROUGH TUESDAY. BEACH
EROSION IS LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE PASSES BY THE AREA AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING THE EXACT PATH AND INTENSITY OF FAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO
BEGIN TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE TO PROTECT MARINE
CRAFT AND SHORELINE PROPERTY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ168-172-173-180000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
LOCATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN DOWN
TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. IF OR WHEN TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED, PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK UNCERTAINTY, A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE,
WHICH WILL BE FROM 10 AM TO AROUND NOON ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
ACROSS COASTAL MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES MONDAY
EVENING, WITH WINDS GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY MONDAY EVENING, BROWARD COUNTY MONDAY NIGHT AND PALM BEACH COUNTY
LATE MONDAY NIGHT. PEAK TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
AND DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY, WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO
IMPROVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST THIS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER
AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
ENTIRE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE METRO MIAMI, FORT LAUDERDALE, AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS.
THERE IS ABOUT A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL
THREE LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4
TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT
FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL
BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-180000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
MARINE IMPACTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN
REEF, FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO
DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WATERS FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE
TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS...WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET
TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE
LEVEL NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL
ARE EXPECTED AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE
PASSING STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS ABOUT A 35 TO 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. THERE
IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.
...WATERSPOUTS...
THE MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT
FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS
OF SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO
34 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND ALL DAY
TUESDAY. SEAS WILL BE INCREASING AS HIGH AS 7 TO 9 FEET DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALL RESULT IN VERY ROUGH SURF AND POSSIBLY
MINOR BEACH EROSION. THE RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
WILL BE HIGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST PARTICULAR LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE WINDS WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING MONDAY
NIGHT AND SHOULD REACH 40 TO 50 MPH, TROPICAL STORM FORCE, DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH TUESDAY EVENING.
GUSTS AS HIGH AS HURRICANE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER
SQUALLS. A TRACK CLOSER TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE OR A STRONGER
INTENSITY STORM WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS AND WORSE MARINE IMPACT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-180000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
243 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
TIMING OF WINDS HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND
MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI
DADE...METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN DOWN
TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WIND WARNING BE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK
UNCERTAINTY, A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE, WHICH WILL BE FROM 10
AM TO AROUND NOON ON TUESDAY.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE LEVEL
NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE EXPECTED AS THE
WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE PASSING STORM.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS
INLAND AND METRO MIAMI-DADE, INLAND AND METRO BROWARD, INLAND AND
METRO PALM BEACH AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY
EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN OVER INLAND AND METRO
MIAMI-DADE AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON, INLAND AND
METRO BROWARD DURING MONDAY NIGHT, AND INLAND AND METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY
LATE MONDAY NIGHT. PEAK TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT OVER INLAND COLLIER
AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES, AND SPREAD NORTH ACROSS BROWARD AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL BEGINNING TO IMPROVE LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.
ACROSS GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING MONDAY
NIGHT, REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS. DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY, WINDS FOR HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE AS HIGH AS 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TUESDAY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE METRO MIAMI, FORT LAUDERDALE, AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS AND A
55 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE FORT
MYERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREAS. THERE IS ABOUT A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL INLAND LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO
4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT
FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL
QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL
BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.
$$
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