[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 07:10:42 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 171210 PAA
HLSMFL
CCA
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
REPLACED PERCENTAGE SIGNS WITH THE WORD PERCENT.
...TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA...
.AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI AND 525 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS CENTRAL CUBA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR THE
FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL
CUBA. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
FLZ069-075-174-171930-
/O.COR.KMFL.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE...AND FAR
SOUTH MIAMI DADE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: HURRICANE WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH...BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
WHEN HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED...THAT WILL BE THE TIME TO FINISH
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF THE STORM.
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK HAS THE STORM MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE
WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM WITH THE
STORM REMAINING OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. GIVEN THE
FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES
BY...STORM TIDE VALUES OF UP TO 3 TO 6 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY
AROUND THE FLAMINGO AREA ON THE FLORIDA BAY SIDE OF MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTY PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING AND AGAIN EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER
COUNTY COASTS PARTICULARLY AROUND HIGH TIDE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
KIND OF STORM TIDES ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL
ROADS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
HOWEVER...SHOULD THE STORM DEVIATE TO THE RIGHT OF TRACK AND
INTENSIFY FURTHER AND IMPACT DIRECTLY THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ...A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 6 TO 10 FEET
AT ANY GIVEN COASTAL LOCATION IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
WHERE THE STORM ENDS UP MAKING LANDFALL. FOR PERSPECTIVE...A STORM
TIDE OF 10 FEET MEANS THAT MANY ROADWAYS COULD GO UNDERWATER...INCLUDING
PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL...U.S. HIGHWAY 41...STATE ROADS 951
AND 92 WHICH LINK MARCO ISLAND TO THE MAINLAND...AND STATE ROAD 29
WHICH LINKS CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY TO THE TAMIAMI TRAIL.
COLLIER SEMINOLE STATE PARK WILL ALSO HAVE SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE
FLOODING. BUT AGAIN...THIS ALL DEPENDS OF THE EXACT TRACK...INTENSITY...AND
SIZE OF FAY AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL.
GIVEN THESE PROSPECTS...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF ORDERED TO DO SO AS THE
STORM NEARS AND BECOMES MORE LIKELY THAT THEIR LOCATION WOULD BE
IMPACTED IN SOME WAY BY THE STORM SURGE.
...WINDS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
PEAKING IN THE 50 TO 70 MPH RANGE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COLLIER
COUNTY COAST PARTICULARLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND EARLY
DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE
MONDAY EVENING AND GRADUALLY IMPROVING BY LATE TUESDAY. FOR THE
MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE PEAK WINDS OF 34 TO 50 MPH
COULD BE EXPERIENCED PARTICULARLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BEGINNING TO IMPROVE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF TRACK WHICH IS STILL
POSSIBLE AND MORE INTENSIFICATION THAN FORECAST COULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH.
THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 55 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF THE AREA EXPERIENCING
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WITH THIS EVENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR
EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS AROUND 5 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM TRACK...FLOOD WATCHES
WOULD LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE AREA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
TRADITIONALLY...LAND FALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS
STAGE...THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF MAINLY ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING RAIN BAND ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH
THE BEST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS NEXT UPDATE FOR THIS STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR AROUND NOON.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-171930-
/O.COR.KMFL.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA
BEACH, FL OUT 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO
CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: HURRICANE WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF A STORM TIDE
OR HIGH WINDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 55 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF THE AREA EXPERIENCING TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WITH THIS EVENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR EXPERIENCING
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS AROUND 5 TO 10 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
TRADITIONALLY...LAND FALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS
STAGE...THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF MAINLY ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING RAIN BAND ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH
THE BEST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS PEAKING IN THE 50 TO 63 KNOTS RANGE WITH HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COLLIER AND MAINLY MONROE
COUNTIES COASTAL WATERS PARTICULARLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING
TO IMPACT MONDAY EVENING AND GRADUALLY IMPROVING BY LATE TUESDAY.
SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET PARTICULARLY OFFSHORE
AND MORE LIKE 5 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE. SURF ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH PARTICULARLY
BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING AS THE STORM MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS AND THE FLOW GRADUALLY BECOMES ONSHORE DURING THE DAY. SOME
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE AS THE HURRICANE PASSES BY THE
AREA...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. DESPITE THIS
DESCRIPTION...IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SCENARIO AND THE IMPORTANT THING IS TO
PREPARE NOW REGARDLESS OF WHAT ACTUALLY ENDS UP HAPPENING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED NEXT AROUND NOON TODAY.
$$
FLZ168-172-173-171930-
/O.COR.KMFL.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...COASTAL
PALM BEACH...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH...BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED...THAT WILL BE
THE TIME TO FINISH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...NO STORM TIDE IMPACT IS
LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. HOWEVER...IT IS IMPORTANT TO
UNDERSTAND THAT ANY CHANGE TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK OR
HIGHER INTENSITY COULD CHANGE THIS OUTLOOK. DESPITE THE CURRENT
LIKELY IMPACT A STORM TIDE OF AT LEAST 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST IS STILL POSSIBLE GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
IN THE FORECAST.
...WINDS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...PEAK TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL
MIAMI DADE MAINLY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND DURING THE DAYLIGHT
MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND IMPROVING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS COASTAL BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES ONLY BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST THIS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER
AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
AT THIS TIME THE PROBABILITY OF THE AREA EXPERIENCING TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS RANGES FROM 40 TO 50 PERCENT FOR THE MIAMI AREA
TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT FOR THE WEST PALM BEACH AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THE
GREATER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS MIAMI DADE.
HOWEVER...QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECASTING IS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN AND DEPENDING ON THE ACTUAL FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY
THIS OUTLOOK COULD CHANGE.
...TORNADOES...
TRADITIONALLY...LAND FALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS ACROSS
ANYWHERE IN THE STATE. AND THIS CAN BE PARTICULARLY TRUE ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF THE LAND/WATER
INTERFACE WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW. AT THIS STAGE...THERE WILL BE AT
LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF MAINLY ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
RAIN BAND ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED NEXT AROUND NOON TODAY.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-171930-
/O.COR.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS: BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48
HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST...NO STORM SURGE
IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SHOULD A MAJOR CHANGE
IN FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY OCCUR FOR THE WORST MORE DIRECTLY
IMPACTING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THIS OUTLOOK COULD CHANGE QUICKLY AND
IN THAT INSTANCE THIS INFORMATION WOULD BE UPDATED ACCORDINGLY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
DESPITE CURRENT FORECAST...THERE IS STILL A 30 TO 40 PERCENT PROBABILITY
OF TROPICAL STORMS CONDITIONS BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY AND 40 TO 50 PERCENT FOR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...TORNADOES...
TRADITIONALLY...LAND FALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS
STAGE...THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF MAINLY ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING RAIN BAND ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH
THE BEST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAINLY FOR BISCAYNE BAY AND THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS GOING OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
FOR THE PALM BEACH COASTAL...MOSTLY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME MAINLY FOR THE PALM BEACH COASTAL WATERS. THIS WILL ALL RESULT
IN ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS YET RELATIVE OVERALL MINOR IMPACT. THE
RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST PARTICULAR LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS WILL POSSIBLY BEGIN
LAKE MONDAY NIGHT INCREASING TO 40 TO 50 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON
TUESDAY BEFORE IMPROVING TUESDAY EVENING.
THIS SCENARIO HAS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AND THEREFORE DEPENDING ON
THE ACTUAL TRACK AND INTENSITY THAT EVOLVES WITH TIME THIS COULD
CHANGE FOR BETTER OR WORSE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON TODAY.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-171930-
/O.COR.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
806 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A 5 AM...A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND
COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO
BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE...METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH...BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED...THAT WILL BE
THE TIME TO FINISH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...NO STORM TIDE IMPACT IS
LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. HOWEVER...IT IS IMPORTANT TO
UNDERSTAND THAT ANY CHANGE TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK OR
HIGHER INTENSITY COULD CHANGE THIS OUTLOOK. DESPITE THE CURRENT
LIKELY IMPACT A STORM TIDE OF AT LEAST 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST IS STILL POSSIBLE GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
IN THE FORECAST.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...NO STORM SURGE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME EITHER. HOWEVER...SHOULD A MAJOR CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK AND
INTENSITY OCCUR FOR THE WORST MORE DIRECTLY IMPACTING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...THIS OUTLOOK COULD CHANGE QUICKLY AND IN THAT
INSTANCE THIS INFORMATION WOULD BE UPDATED ACCORDINGLY.
...WINDS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE WORST IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE
FELT ACROSS PORTIONS OF INLAND COLLIER...HENDRY...AND GLADES
COUNTIES. ACROSS THAT AREA PEAK WINDS OF 50 TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH HIGHER GUSTS PARTICULARLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE MONDAY EVENING
AND IMPROVING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE ACROSS INLAND PALM
BEACH...INLAND BROWARD...AND INLAND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...PEAK
WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS...ARE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE FROM THE
SOUTH MONDAY EVENING AND IMPROVING BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS SCENARIO HAS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AND GIVEN THE ACTUAL TRACK
AND INTENSITY OF THE STORM THAT EVOLVES WITH TIME IT COULD CHANGE
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE ACTUAL PROBABILITY OF THE AREA EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IS 40 TO 50 PERCENT AT THIS TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THE
GREATER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER...QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECASTING IS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN AND DEPENDING ON THE ACTUAL FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY
THIS OUTLOOK COULD CHANGE.
...TORNADOES...
TRADITIONALLY...LAND FALLING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS
STAGE...THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF MAINLY ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING RAIN BAND ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH
THE BEST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON TODAY.
$$
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