[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 051434
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052008
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 05 2008

EDOUARD MADE LANDFALL AT 1200 UTC IN THE MCFADDIN NATIONAL WILDLIFE
REFUGE ON THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BETWEEN HIGH ISLAND AND SABINE PASS
WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 55 KT.  THE CYCLONE IS NOW BEGINNING TO
LOSE ORGANIZATION AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH
THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL.

THE CENTER IS BECOMING HARDER TO LOCATE IN WSR-88D DATA...BUT THE
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 300/13.  MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT ON A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH
PERHAPS A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE CYCLONE
DISSIPATES IN 36-48 HOURS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      05/1500Z 29.9N  94.6W    50 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     06/0000Z 30.6N  96.5W    40 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     06/1200Z 31.4N  98.6W    30 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     07/0000Z 32.4N 100.7W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN



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