[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 032157
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052008
600 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

WHEN THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT PASSED THROUGH THE CONVECTION TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER A SHORT TIME AGO...IT FOUND MAXIMUM
FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 54 KT AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1002 MB...A
DROP OF 5 MB IN AN HOUR AND A HALF.  THESE DATA INDICATE THAT THE
DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED INTO THE FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE
SEASON.

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE.  EDOUARD IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE
INTENSITY AT LANDFALL...WITH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BETWEEN THE GFDL
AND SHIPS GUIDANCE.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      03/2200Z 28.1N  88.0W    40 KT
 12HR VT     04/0600Z 28.2N  89.4W    45 KT
 24HR VT     04/1800Z 28.4N  91.5W    50 KT
 36HR VT     05/0600Z 28.9N  93.8W    60 KT
 48HR VT     05/1800Z 29.5N  96.2W    45 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     06/1800Z 30.5N 100.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BLAKE



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