[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT43 KNHC 281442
TCDAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT LORENZO HAS
WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER
INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO.  THERE ARE BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION
WITH SOME HEAVY SQUALLS ALONG THE COAST. ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE
THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES
AT 8 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL
DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN.

SINCE LORENZO IS MOVING SLOWLY...IT CAN STILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL
RAINS ALONG ITS PATH.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      28/1500Z 20.6N  98.4W    30 KT
 12HR VT     29/0000Z 21.0N  99.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     29/1200Z 21.5N 101.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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