[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 250923
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE SEP 25 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY
UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM KAREN...LOCATED ABOUT 1565 MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOW NO DEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED DURING THE NIGHT.  HOWEVER...UPPER
LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS
SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF
NECESSARY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION.  HOWEVER...THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO NORTHWESTWARD AND
BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
TODAY...AND TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO BY WEDNESDAY.
INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND
ANY DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN


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