[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 212121
HLSTAE
FLZ008-012-014-015-GMZ750-770-212230-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1715 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD A SHORT DISTANCE OFFSHORE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ABOUT 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
PANAMA CITY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT...
11 AM EDT...SATURDAY FOR JEFFERSON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES...

...FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM CDT...5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING
LANDFALL. PERSONS IN OR NEAR THE WARNED AREA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT 4 PM CDT...5 PM EDT...TIDES CONTINUED ON THE DECLINE. THE TIDE
GAGE AT APALACHICOLA WAS STILL REPORTING 1 FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL...RESULTING IN A TOTAL STORM TIDE OF APPROXIMATELY 2 FEET. AT
PANAMA CITY BEACH...TIDES WERE ALSO ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. AS
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE WEST NORTHWEST
TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING MORE ONSHORE...AND HIGH TIDES OCCURRING
AFTER MIDNIGHT...TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE LIKELY
OCCUR FROM SANDESTIN EASTWARD TO APALACHICOLA...AND CONTINUE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND OVERNIGHT. BEACH EROSION WILL
BE POSSIBLE ALONG VULNERABLE BEACHES ESPECIALLY AT ALLIGATOR
POINT...DOG ISLAND AND CAPE SAN BLAS. THE ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BEGIN WEAKENING BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
INLAND AND OFF TO THE WEST.

STORM TIDES ARE THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND ARE...

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
THIS EVENING... LOW... 05:31 PM.
TONIGHT... HIGH... 12:21 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
THIS EVENING... LOW... 07:34 PM.
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... HIGH... 03:19 AM... LOW 07:17 AM.

SAINT ANDREWS BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
THIS AFTERNOON... LOW... 04:48 PM.
TOMORROW MORNING: 06:35 AM.

...WINDS...
AT 4 PM CDT...5 PM EDT...WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
APALACHICOLA TO SANDESTIN WERE MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH
AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. EAST OF APALACHICOLA...
WINDS WERE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH. INLAND WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WERE
MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20
MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL COME OUT OF THIS STORM. AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES WEST...IT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COAST.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.  THE POSSIBILITY STILL
EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS
SUCH AS PANAMA CITY ALONG THE COAST OVERNIGHT. FLOODING CAN BE
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED
DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL NE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE BY 8 PM CDT...9 PM EDT.

$$

WATSON








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