[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 211635
HLSTAE
FLZ008-012-014-015-GMZ750-770-211930-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1235 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY FOR JEFFERSON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
85.5 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 75 KM...SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE
MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PERSONS
IN OR NEAR THE WARNED AREA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT 11 AM EDT...10 AM CDT...TIDES WERE NEAR OR JUST PAST THE TIME
OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE. THE TIDE GAGE AT APALACHICOLA WAS
REPORTING 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL...RESULTING IN A HIGH TIDE OF
APPROXIMATELY 3 FEET. AT PANAMA CITY BEACH...TIDES WERE STILL NEAR
NORMAL. AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES TO THE WEST NORTHWEST
AND WINDS BECOME MORE ONSHORE...TIDES 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
WILL BE LIKELY FROM APALACHICOLA EASTWARD RESULTING IN A TOTAL HIGH
TIDE OF 4 FEET DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT.
FROM CAPE SAN BLAS TO PORT ST JOE TO PANAMA CITY TO SANDESTIN...
TIDES SHOULD RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WITH TOTAL HIGH TIDES OF
UP TO 4 FEET POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR ALONG
VULNERABLE BEACHES ESPECIALLY AT ALLIGATOR POINT...DOG ISLAND AND
CAPE SAN BLAS. THE ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING
BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND AND OFF TO THE
WEST.

STORM TIDES ARE THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND ARE...

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
TODAY: LOW/ 05:31 PM:
TONIGHT: HIGH/ 12:21 AM:

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY: HIGH/ 10:00 AM...LOW/ 07:34 PM:
TONIGHT/TOMORROW: HIGH/ 03:19 AM...LOW 07:17 AM:

SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
TODAY: LOW/ 04:48 PM:
TONIGHT/TOMORROW: 06:35 AM:

...WINDS...
AT NOON EDT...11 AM CDT...WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
APALACHICOLA TO SANDESTIN WERE MAINLY OUT OF THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH.
EAST OF APALACHICOLA...WINDS WERE COMING AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 AND 40 MPH. AS THE
CENTER MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY COME
AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS SHOULD BEGIN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INLAND WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WERE MAINLY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH.


...INLAND FLOODING...
SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL COME OUT OF THIS STORM.  ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT HAVE MOSTLY RANGED ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OVER THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND...EXCEPT FOR AN AREA OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN TAYLOR COUNTY. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COAST.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.  WITH THE CONTINUED
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...GROUND
CONDITIONS WILL GET WETTER.  AS THE STORM DEVELOPS...THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS SUCH AS
PANAMA CITY ALONG THE COAST WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. FLOODING CAN
BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED
DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH
TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL NE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE BY 3 PM EDT...2 PM CDT.

$$

WATSON/GOREE

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