[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 18 10:24:11 CDT 2007


ABNT20 KNHC 181523
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA EASTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AND BAHAMAS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND A TROPICAL WAVE OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID...A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE...EXTEND FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS INTO THE ATLANTIC.  REDEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

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