[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 130054
HLSLCH
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-130400-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
754 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007

...TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST OVERNIGHT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR CAMERON...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...VERMILION...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...IBERIA...UPPER AND LOWER
SAINT MARTIN...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES IN LOUISIANA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED AT
28.8 NORTH LATITUDE...94.8 WEST LONGITUDE...OR 60 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...110 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA...AND 170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA.

HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS
DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HUMBERTO SHOULD BE CROSSING THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...OR 29.47 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CAMERON PARISH HAS CANCELED ALL SCHOOLS FOR THURSDAY.

NO EVACUATIONS OF COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY OR COASTAL CAMERON AND
VERMILION PARISHES HAS BEEN CALLED FOR AT THIS TIME.

THE CALCASIEU PARISH OEP ADVISES ANY PERSONS LIVING IN A LOW LYING
OR FLOOD PRONE AREA TO CONSIDER ANOTHER LOCATION IN THE EVENT OF
FLOODING. IN ADDITION...ANYONE WHO FEELS UNCOMFORTABLE IN HIS OR
HER CURRENT LIVING LOCATION SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO A MORE
SECURE LOCATION.

THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER HAS BEEN MADE AVAILABLE AS A SHELTER
STARTING AT 8 PM THIS EVENING. PERSONS UNABLE TO TRANSPORT
THEMSELVES OR GET A RIDE FROM FAMILY OR FRIENDS TO THE SHELTER
SHOULD CALL THE OFFICE OF COMMUNITY SERVICE AT 337-721-4040.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE ALREADY RUNNING ONE AND AN HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
CAMERON LOUISIANA...AND ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT SABINE PASS AND
CYPREMORT PORT LOUISIANA. FOR OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING...EXPECT TOTAL STORM TIDES TO RANGE BETWEEN 4 AND 5 FEET
ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON AND CAMERON PARISHES...AND 3 TO 4 FEET
ACROSS COASTAL VERMILION...IBERIA...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THESE
TIDAL LEVELS AND FOLLOWING EFFECTS WILL BE SIMILAR TO TROPICAL
STORM FRANCES IN 1998.

FOR TIDAL LEVELS 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY...EXPECT
HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN HIGH ISLAND AND SABINE PASS TO HAVE NEAR A FOOT
TO AT TIME A FOOT AND A HALF OF TIDAL FLOODING. SEVERAL ROADS
WITHIN PORT ARTHUR AND SABINE PASS HAVING TIDAL FLOODING...RANGING
BETWEEN 6 INCHES TO NEAR A FOOT DEEP.

FOR TIDAL LEVELS OVER 4 TO 5 FEET ACROSS CAMERON PARISH...EXPECT
PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 82 TO FLOOD BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND JOHNSON'S
BAYOU...AND BETWEEN OAK GROVE AND GRAND CHENIER. ALSO EXPECT
PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON TO FLOOD...WITH WATER DEPTHS
NEAR A FOOT TO A FOOT AND A HALF DEEP.

FOR TIDAL LEVELS 3 TO 4 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...EXPECT
SECONDARY ROADS OFF OF HIGHWAYS 83 AND 333...AS WELL AS WITHIN
INTRACOASTAL CITY...TO HAVE MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS PREDICTED TIDE LEVELS FOR SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

AT SABINE PASS THIS EVENING, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 11:01 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
HIGH TIDE OF 1.6 FEET AT 4:29 AM;
LOW TIDE OF 0.8 FEET AT 11:24 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 5:32 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 11:27 PM.

AT CAMERON THIS EVENING, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 10:15 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
HIGH TIDE OF 2.0 FEET AT 3:33 AM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 10:38 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 2.1 FEET AT 4:36 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.6 FEET AT 10:41 PM.

AT VERMILION BAY THIS EVENING, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 11:06 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
HIGH TIDE OF 1.6 FEET AT 5:15 AM;
LOW TIDE OF 0.8 FEET AT 11:29 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 6:18 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 11:32 PM.

...WIND...
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE THIS EVENING
JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
WITH THE FORECAST TRACK...THE ENVELOP OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY LATE
THIS EVENING...AND SPREAD FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF JEFFERSON...HARDIN...AND TYLER COUNTIES INTO THE MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. GUSTS OVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE RAIN BANDS THAT AFFECT SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING WITHIN THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

34 KNOTS FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	15%

50 KNOTS FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	 2%

34 KNOTS FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	29%
NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA:    3%

50 KNOTS FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	 5%

34 KNOTS FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM FRIDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	 2%
NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA:    2%

50 KNOTS FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM FRIDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 	 1%

...INLAND FLOODING...
INLAND FLOODING IS THE BIGGEST WEATHER THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM...DUE
TO THE SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT. EXPECT AREAWIDE RAINFALL TOTALS TO RANGE
5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 15 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR
THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY.

...HYDROLOGIC IMPACT...
HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST WILL CAUSE WATER BACK-UP ALONG LOWER
REACHES OF THE CALCASIEU...MERMENTAU...VERMILION...NECHES AND
SABINE RIVERS. CURRENTLY...THE CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY AND
SALT WATER BARRIER ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE FLOOD STAGE OF 4 FEET
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO
CAUSE AREA RIVER LEVELS AND FLOWS TO INCREASE. RESIDENTS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
RIVER FORECASTS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FUTURE RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE OUT BY 11 PM CDT.

$$

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